Key sectors: healthcare (+51K), transport (+29K), construction (+11K)
Tariffs and federal job cuts raise concerns about future slowdown
American employers added a better-than-expected 177,000 jobs in April as the job market showed resilience in the face of President Donald Trump‘s trade wars.
Hiring was down slightly from a revised 185,000 in March and came in above economists’ expectations for a modest 135,000. The unemployment rate remained at a low 4.2%, the Labor Department reported Friday.
President Donald Trump’s aggressive and unpredictable policies – including massive import taxes – have clouded the outlook for the economy and the job market and raised fears that the American economy is headed toward recession.
But Friday’s report showed the damage isn’t showing up in the labor market yet. “The labor market refuses to buckle in the face of trade war uncertainty,” Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at fwdbonds, a financial markets research firm. “Politicians can count their lucky stars that companies are holding on to their workers despite the storm clouds forming that could slow the economy further in the second half of the year.”
Transportation and warehousing companies added 29,000 jobs last month, suggesting that companies have been stocking up before essential, imported goods are hit with a wave of new tariffs, driving prices higher. Healthcare companies added nearly 51,000 jobs and bars, restaurants almost 17,000 and construction firms 11,000. Factories lost 1,000 jobs.
Labor Department revisions shaved 58,000 jobs from February and March payrolls.
Average hourly earnings ticked up 0.2% from March and 3.8% from a year ago, nearing the 3.5% that economists view as consistent with the 2% inflation the Federal Reserve wants to see.
The report showed that 518,000 people entered the labor force, and the percentage of those working or looking for work ticked up slightly.
“We are not seeing right now any really adverse effects on the employment market,” Boston College economist Brian Bethune said before the report came out.
Yet many economists fear that the U.S. job market will deteriorate if economic growth takes a hit from trade wars.
Trump’s massive taxes on imports to the U.S. are likely to raise costs for Americans and American businesses that depend on supplies from overseas. They also threaten to slow economic growth. His immigration crackdown threatens to make it more difficult for hotels, restaurants and construction firms to fill job openings. By purging federal workers and cancelling federal contracts, Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency risks wiping out jobs inside the government and out.
“Looking ahead, we expect the steep tariff increases and the surge in uncertainty and financial market volatility will result in a more pronounced labor market downshift than previously anticipated,” Lydia Boussour, senior economist at the accounting and consulting giant EY, wrote this week. “Large cuts to the federal workforce and the cancellations of many government contracts will also be a drag on payroll growth in coming months.”
A slowdown in immigration “will weigh on labor supply dynamics, further constraining job growth. We foresee the unemployment rate rising toward 5% in 2025.”
Trump’s policies have shaken financial markets and frightened consumers. The Conference Board, a business group, reported Tuesday that Americans’ confidence in the economy fell for the fifth straight month to the lowest level since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
American workers have at least one thing going for them. Despite the uncertainty about fallout from Trump’s policies, many employers don’t want to risk letting employees go – not after seeing how hard it was to bring people back from the massive but short-lived layoffs of the 2020 COVID-19 recession.
“They laid millions of these people off, and they had a hell of a time getting them back to work,” Boston College’s Bethune said. “So for now, the unemployment rate and the number of people filing claims for jobless benefits every week remain low by historical standards.
The federal government’s workforce fell by 9,000 on top of 17,000 job losses in February and March, Still, the full effect of Musk’s DOGE cuts may not be showing up yet. For one thing, Bethune noted, job cuts orders by the billionaire’s DOGE are still being challenged in court. For another, some of those leaving federal agencies were forced into early retirement and don’t show up in the Labor Department’s count of the unemployed.
Solid hiring and low unemployment will likely keep the Federal Reserve on the sidelines as it takes time to evaluate the impact of tariffs on the economy. Fed chair Jerome Powell has underscored that the duties are likely to push up prices in the coming months, making the central bank wary of the potential for higher inflation.
The Fed typically fights inflation with higher interest rates, so it is unlikely to cut its key short-term rate anytime soon. It might change course and reduce rates if layoffs spiked and unemployment rose, but Friday’s report suggests that isn’t happening yet.
____
AP Economics Writer Christopher Rugaber contributed to this story.
President Sands warns NIH funding cuts could cost Virginia Tech $13M
DEI offices shut down across Virginia colleges amid Trump orders
Tech’s federally funded research tops $550M annually
Sands leads Innovation Campus growth, tackles NIL issues in NCAA
As college administrators nationwide navigate funding challenges and difficult choices in the second Trump administration, most university presidents aren’t writing public letters about the times we live in.
But Virginia Tech President Timothy Sands did just that. In a Feb. 10 letter to the university community, he addressed the White House’s attempt to cap indirect cost reimbursements for National Institutes of Health research, funding that helps maintain labs and other facilities. The move, Sands wrote, could result in a $13 million hit to Virginia Tech’s total sponsored research budget, which was $453.4 million in 2024.
And while $13 million might not be an emergency for a large institution like Tech, the overall NIH cutbacks — in addition to other federal budget slashes anticipated — would have a “debilitating effect” on research universities to “carry out their mission,” Sands wrote. “Lives will be lost due to the corresponding reduction in the pace of biomedical research. It will degrade the nation’s ability to compete in a global technology environment, threaten our national security, and impact the economies of the states and localities that host these institutions.”
Virginia Tech’s total federally funded research expenses in fiscal 2024 exceeded $308 million, he noted, with direct spending of $235 million and $73 million going to facilities and administrative reimbursement.
Meanwhile, in an effort to protect their federal funding, public universities across the nation are closing their diversity, equity and inclusion offices and ending other DEI initiatives, under orders from President Donald Trump.
So, in late March, Virginia Tech’s board of visitors voted to dissolve the university’s Office for Inclusive Strategy and Excellence after the University of Virginia and Virginia Commonwealth University’s board members did the same.
In an April town hall meeting on Tech’s campus that was streamed online, Sands explained that total federal funding at Tech amounts to about $550 million a year, and that it represents significant leverage.
“Just to give you an overall perspective, our overall operating budget is $2.3 billion, so $550 million is a big chunk of that,” Sands said.
Regarding the Tech board members’ move to dissolve the university’s diversity office, Sands said that “every board of visitors at the major universities in Virginia has done the same thing or almost exactly the same thing. … You should know that the [Virginia Tech] Board of Visitors is trying to protect the institution. You may disagree with how they are doing it, but that is what they are trying to do.”
It comes down to power wielded by the federal government and who’s in the White House, but the option of withholding federal funding “has been a consistent threat,” Sands said. “They rarely use that hammer. The difference now is that you can see the federal government is swinging that hammer rather wildly, and then they are asking questions later. It is just hard to know where that is going to end up.”
Close to home
In an interview with Virginia Business, Sands says that several of his university’s researchers working on projects funded by federal grants and contracts received stop-work orders from the federal government, although some projects have resumed. “It’s a wait-and-see kind of situation.”
As reported about other Trump policy changes, some of the decision to place stop-work orders on research projects appear to have been “done by word search,” Sands says. “They were looking for certain words, and they wanted to pause anything that had those words in the description of the work.”
Although Sands didn’t specify which words were flagged, in February, The Washington Post reported that research projects at the National Science Foundation with the descriptive words “women,” “diverse,” “trauma” and “equity” were among those halted, at least temporarily. Sands notes that at Virginia Tech, “it was a pretty small percentage of what we do, to be honest, and hopefully will remain that way.”
But massive cuts to the U.S. Agency for International Development — the federal agency that was responsible for civilian foreign aid and development assistance worldwide, which was essentially shut down by the White House — has also impacted some of Virginia Tech’s research, particularly involving agriculture, Sands says. “As a land-grant institution, we do a lot in agriculture, and we’re globally engaged in diversity, so most land-grants had that challenge around USAID.”
As for NIH grants, biomedical research is “a very fast-growing area for Virginia Tech,” particularly at the Fralin Biomedical Research Institute and the Virginia Tech Carilion School of Medicine, Sands says. “We have the second fastest-growing NIH portfolio in the country.”
Sands’ decision to write a public letter and speak openly about White House policy is relatively rare among his higher education cohorts, as they try to protect their funding and not rile up the powers that be.
“I don’t comment too often on things that could be regarded as political,” Sands says. “But the reality is this one had direct impact on the institution, so I felt the need to at least explain the impact of that decision, if the federal government were to follow through on that.”
Not only would cuts to research funding affect Virginia Tech’s future in drawing global talent to Virginia, but they also could impact students from around the state who benefit from paid internships made possible by federal funding, he adds.
“Those two initiatives — when something touches those — I’m going to speak out,” Sands says.
Now in his 11th year at Virginia Tech, Sands spent time speaking with students at the 2024 Homecoming Tailgate in Blacksburg. Photos courtesy Virginia Tech
A growing profile
Trained as a materials engineer with expertise in LEDs, nanotechnology and microelectronics, Sands is in his 11th year leading Virginia Tech, and he has been instrumental in expanding the university’s presence beyond its origins in Blacksburg, most prominently in Alexandria, where the university’s $1.1 billion Innovation Campus opened its first academic building in late February, housing graduate programs in computer science, computer engineering and business.
Tech’s Innovation Campus, as well as the state’s Tech Talent Investment Program initiative to produce 32,000 more computer science and engineering graduates over two decades, were widely cited as major factors in Amazon.com’s 2018 decision to build its East Coast HQ2 headquarters in Arlington County.
Sands also has overseen significant growth in enrollment and applications. In 2019 and 2020, Virginia Tech reached 30,000 undergraduates for the first time, and undergrad enrollment has grown to about 31,000 today, Sands says. This academic year, the school received 58,000 applications for undergraduates, “three times what it was a decade ago,” he notes, “so that means we’re much more selective than we really want to be, to be honest.”
That’s placed some stress on the campus. “We’ve pretty much hit the limit in terms of the capacity of the campus and in the surrounding community in Blacksburg, and we have a project going on called Partnerships for Progress, which engages the local jurisdictions in a sort of joint planning, so we can plan for a future where we might grow,” Sands says. “I think our growth potential is probably more outside of Blacksburg now.”
Sands also chairs the NCAA Division I Board of Directors, a post he assumed in August 2024. The board governs Division I policies, particularly the relationship between college sports and their universities. At the moment, D1 schools are grappling with relatively new name, image and likeness (NIL) payment rules for student athletes and the loosened NCAA transfer portal policy, which have together radically changed athletics at most larger universities.
Unlike in the past, student athletes — primarily in football and men’s and women’s basketball, but increasingly in other sports — often transfer to new schools after a year or two to secure higher NIL payments, creating instability for coaches who now must recruit incoming freshmen as well as players in transfer portals.
“This past year has been particularly challenging, because name, image and likeness in its original manifestation back in 2021 was intended to be not used for inducement for play, or pay for play,” Sands says.
Although the NCAA has attempted to adjust the system, temporary court injunctions have hampered rules enforcement, Sands notes. “That has created a period of chaos, where institutions that have a lot of money can dump it on NIL, and scrutiny has not been there because legally everybody’s handcuffed.”
The Atlantic Coast Conference, in which Virginia Tech is one of 18 member teams, has struggled to produce strong men’s basketball teams in the era of NIL and the transfer portal, and prominent voices like former Duke basketball coach Mike Kryzyzewski have called for change.
However, the expected settlements of two lawsuits embroiling the NCAA and its five power conferences — the ACC, Big 12, Big Ten, Pac-12 and SEC — are expected to eventually calm some of the chaos.
In addition to $2.85 billion in backpay to former D1 athletes, there will be a cap on future NIL payments, which will prevent colleges or fans with the biggest pocketbooks from outbidding everyone else, at least to some degree, Sands notes. “It won’t be impossible, but it’ll be much harder for an institution — or a booster — to essentially pay to have someone play at a particular institution.”
Instead, starting July 1, student athletes will receive shares of the revenue “they help generate, which is really the source of the tension that’s been created over the last couple of decades, this huge amount of money coming in from television for media contracts,” Sands says. “So, I think we’re entering potentially into a much more stable and more competitive environment where the ACC, for example, should be able to restore some of its competitiveness.”
At Virginia Tech, Athletics Director Whit Babcock “has been a great resource through this,” Sands says. Once the NIL settlements are in place, “I think some of that normalcy will return. I think the coming year will be chaotic, but hopefully it’ll settle down.”
Virginia Tech at a glance
Founded
Founded in 1872 as a public land-grant university, Virginia Tech was originally known as Virginia Agricultural and Mechanical College. Renamed Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University in 1970, the school manages a research portfolio of more than $556 million.
Campus
Virginia Tech’s main campus in Blacksburg stretches over 2,600 acres. Tech also has regional presences statewide and a study-abroad campus in Switzerland. Academic Building One, the first part of the university’s $1.1 billion Innovation Campus, opened in Alexandria in January.
Student profile
Male: 57%
Female: 43%
Students of color: 12,153
Employees
Full-time employees: 9,126
Research and teaching faculty: 3,719
Tuition, fees, housing and financial aid*
In-state undergraduate: $15,950
Out-of-state undergraduate: $37,777
Room and board: $12,358
Average financial aid awarded to entering in-state undergraduates in 2023-24: $11,998
*2024-25 figures, except as noted
Tysons-based Strategy, the world’s largest corporate bitcoin investor, reported a loss of $4.22 billion in its first quarter earnings report released Thursday.
Formerly known as MicroStrategy, the company, which rebranded as Strategy in February, said it had a quarterly per-share loss of $16.49. Strategy posted first quarter revenue of $111.1 million, a 3.6% decrease from the first quarter of 2024.
As of Monday, Strategy reported owning 553,555 bitcoins. The cryptocurrency was purchased for about $37.90 billion, averaging approximately $68,459 per coin.
According to Coinbase, the nation’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, as of 5:10 p.m. Thursday, bitcoin was selling for $96,633.39 per coin — making Strategy’s holdings worth about $51.55 billion.
Under the direction of bitcoin whale and company founder Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy announced its first bitcoin purchase in August 2020, making it one of the first public companies to convert its cash treasury reserves into cryptocurrency as a store of value.
“Our capital markets strategy continues to grow our bitcoin holdings while delivering superior shareholder value,” Phong Le, the company’s president and CEO, said in a statement. “With over 70 public companies worldwide now adopting a bitcoin treasury standard, we are proud to be at the forefront in pioneering this space.”
Saylor has made bold pronouncements and statements about bitcoin in the past. In September 2024, he told CNBC that he thought the cryptocurrency could rise as high as $13 million per bitcoin by 2045, a prediction he repeated on Fox Business in December 2024, hours before bitcoin breached the $100,000 mark.
Saylor’s and MicroStrategy’s fortunes have turned before. He stepped down as CEO after MicroStrategy’s August 2022 earnings report, when the company disclosed that it had paid a total of $3.977 billion for its bitcoin, which at that time had fallen to a market value of about $2.451 billion. At that point, MicroStrategy also had taken on about $2.4 billion in loans and debt to acquire bitcoin. At points in 2022, the cryptocurrency fell below $20,000 to prices it had not seen since 2020.
Richmond-based law firmSands Anderson on Thursday announced that it will open a new Virginia Beach office after completing its merger with Virginia Beach law firm Frieden Seery Nuckols & Hahn.
Sands Anderson’s new office acquired through the merger is located at 222 Central Park Ave. in Virginia Beach and includes attorneys Alan M. Frieden, D. Scott Seery, Michael H. Nuckols, Carol W. Hahn and W. Lane Nuckols from Frieden. Gregory P. Bergethon from Sands Anderson and the entire Frieden professional staff will also staff the new office.
Sands Anderson President Jeff Geiger says the merger marks “a significant milestone” for the firm.
“This merger strengthens our practices, deepens our bench and broadens our reach, especially in Hampton Roads,” Geiger said in a statement. “The combined talent is formidable, and we anticipate the Virginia Beach office will be attractive to professionals who want to help build for the future. Most importantly, it enhances our ability to offer clients the strategic guidance and personal attention they’ve come to expect from both of our firms.”
Financial terms of the merger were not disclosed.
Headquartered in Richmond, Sands Anderson is a midsize law firm serving government entities, businesses, individuals, insurance companies and health care clients. The combined Sands Anderson firm, which includes the five attorneys brought on from Frieden, now has more than 80 lawyers across six offices in Virginia and North Carolina.
Cornelius has led the Farm Credit of the Virginias since 2020, according to a Thursday announcement by the Staunton-based organization. Farm Credit of the Virginias provides financing to farmers, agribusinesses and rural homeowners throughout Virginia, West Virginia and western Maryland. The national farm credit system is the largest provider of agricultural credit in the United States.
When Cornelius took the job, the cooperative provided over $1.8 billion in financing to more than 11,000 customer-owners. Today, the Farm Credit of the Virginias provides more than $2.3 billion in loans to more than 12,500 customer-owners.
“Under Brad’s leadership, he has created a culture of excellence and accountability as he focused on growing the association, serving our customer-owners and communities and expanding our cooperative’s investments in talent, educational resources and technology and process improvements,” Kevin Craun, board chair of Farm Credit of the Virginias, said in a statement.
Cornelius began his career at AgGeorgia Farm Credit, where he worked as a loan officer, branch manager and regional lending manager. He went on to work as chief credit officer of AgChoice Farm Credit in Pennsylvania and served as CEO of Cape Fear Farm Credit in North Carolina.
“Serving those who work in agriculture has been the focus of my career, and it is gratifying to know that I am leaving the cooperative in a solid position,” Cornelius said in a statement.
The cooperative’s board will launch a national search to fill the CEO role.
Houston-based Vortex Cos., which provides trenchless water and sewer infrastructure products, announced last week that it has acquired Williamsburg-based Prism Contractors & Engineers.
Founded in 1993, Prism is a full-service engineering and contracting firm that offers civil engineering and surveying services, as well as trenchless rehabilitation and utilityconstruction. The firm has 29 employees, according to a Vortex spokesperson.
“The acquisition of Prism aligns perfectly with our growth strategy in this region and builds on our ability to support high-quality project delivery across our mid-Atlantic and Southeast operations,” said Vortex CEO Mike Vellano in a statement. “Prism’s reputation for building strong client relationships and providing innovative solutions to complex infrastructure challenges makes them a valuable addition to the Vortex family.”
Vortex did not disclose the financial terms of the transaction.
Prism’s engineering services range from site plans to hydraulic modeling.
“We are thrilled to join Vortex,” Prism President Aaron Tenney said. “Our culture, services, and customer-centric focus align seamlessly, and this partnership brings new opportunities to expand our capabilities to better serve our customers. Together, we can address aging infrastructure challenges with minimal disruption and maximum efficiency.”
Vortex, which has 1,200 employees across 29 locations worldwide, specializes in rehabilitating manholes, pipes and structures. It also manufactures specialty mortars, polymeric coatings, resins, and cured-in-place-pipe-repair liners and develops and distributes sewer robotics and high-speed drain cleaning tools.
Vice President J.D. Vance breaks tie to dismiss resolution
Senate Republicans narrowly voted down a resolution co-sponsored by U.S. Sen. Tim Kaine on Wednesday that would have blocked global tariffs announced by President Donald Trump earlier this month, giving the president a modest win as lawmakers in both parties have remained skeptical of his trade agenda.
The 49-49 vote came weeks after the Senate approved a resolution that would have thwarted Trump’s ability to impose tariffs on Canada. That measure passed 51-48 with the votes of four Republicans — Sens. Susan Collins of Maine, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, and Mitch McConnell and Rand Paul of Kentucky. But McConnell — who has been sharply critical of the tariffs but had not said how he would vote — and Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse were absent Wednesday, denying Democrats the votes for passage.
“It was unfortunate that two senators were not present yesterday,” U.S. Sen. Mark Warner, Virginia’s senior Democratic senator, said during a media call Thursday. “I don’t believe they’ve changed their views, so when they return, we’re trying to find a way to bring this back up on the floor of the Senate.”
Supporters of the legislation said their primary aim was to put Republicans on the record either way and to try to reassert congressional powers.
“The Senate cannot be an idle spectator in the tariff madness,” said Oregon U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden, a lead sponsor of the resolution.
Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer said the dismal economic numbers should be a “wakeup call” to Republicans.
Wary of a rebuke to Trump, GOP leaders encouraged their conference not to vote for the resolution, even as many of them remain unconvinced about the tariffs.
Republican colleagues, Warner said Thursday, ask him privately to continue speaking out about actions taken by the Trump administration, topics ranging from tariffs to mishandling classified information.
“I hope and pray for the sake of our country that they will stop giving me private reassurances or private reassurances to Tim that he’s doing the right thing, and find their voice, find their courage,” Warner said. “If they really believe these things, don’t tell me privately. Stand up on the floor of the Senate and vote your conscience.”
Warner empathized that opponents to the administration’s policies often face retaliation from the president and from Elon Musk’s followers on X. Warner noted the arson at the home of Pennsylvania’s governor in April. According to media reports, the man arrested on arson charges expressed anger about the war in Gaza.
“I believe these actions are [inflamed] by oftentimes some of the commentary that takes place on social media,” Warner said.
Collins said the close vote on Wednesday’s resolution “demonstrates that there is unease with the president’s plan. It’s partially the president’s plan is still evolving, but many of us are hearing from employers back home about the impact of the tariffs in a negative way.”
As he travels the commonwealth, Warner said, his constituents talk to him about their concerns over trade.
“I hear from Virginia small businesses in particular [about] how their businesses will be disrupted,” Warner said. “Across the board costs are going up, and remember, these tariffs are taxes on American families.”
Some Republicans argued that the vote was a political stunt. North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis said he backs separate legislation by fellow Republican, Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassley, that would give Congress increased power over determining tariffs.
Several Republicans defended Trump’s tariffs — and said they were willing to give him time to figure it out.
“People are willing to give the president an opportunity to prove that the new system works,” said Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy.
Texas Sen. John Cornyn said the vote shows that senators “believe that the President’s policies deserve to be tried and see if they’re successful.”
However, Democrats say the Republicans’ failure to stand up to Trump could have dire consequences. “The only thing Donald Trump’s tariffs have succeeded in is raising the odds of recession and sending markets into a tailspin,” said Schumer. “Today, they have to choose – stick with Trump or stand with your states.”
Kaine posted on X following the vote: “On the same day the American economy is announced as shrinking due to Trump chaos, the GOP forces the VEEP to come break a tie to greenlight idiotic Trump tariffs. They REALLY want to own the damage to everyday folks, farms and small bizness.”
The Democratic resolution forced a vote under a statute that allows them to try to terminate the national economic emergency Trump used to levy the tariffs.
Republicans held a procedural vote after the tied vote to ensure that Democrats could not bring the resolution up again, Senate Majority Leader John Thune told reporters afterward. Vice President J.D. Vance came to the Capitol to break the tie and ensure they dismissed the resolution for good.
Trump has tried to reassure voters that his tariffs will not provoke a recession as his administration has focused on China, raising tariffs on Chinese goods to 145% even as he paused the others. He told his Cabinet Wednesday morning that his tariffs meant China was “having tremendous difficulty because their factories are not doing business.”
He also said the U.S. does not really need imports from the world’s dominant manufacturer. “Maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls,” he said. “So maybe the two dolls will cost a couple bucks more than they would normally.”
Before joining Level Access, Snyder led the global customer experience team at Kyriba, a San Diego finance software company. He also held various management positions at Tysons-based events management software company Cvent.
Level Access primarily focuses on digital accessibility and helping clients reach compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act by ensuring that computer systems and software are accessible to all users, regardless of disabilities or impairments.
In his new role at Level Access, Snyder will work with clients to promote key trends shaping sustainable accessibility practices and help them adapt to changing accessibility requirements.
“Organizations around the world know that digital accessibility is a legal and business requirement,” Level Access CEO Mark Zablan said in a statement. “We’re proud to support them in building sustainable programs that ensure their digital experiences are accessible to people with disabilities. Andrew is an exceptional leader who forges powerful partnerships with customers to help them achieve their goals.”
Level Access believes Snyder’s track record will be useful in helping organizations make faster progress toward their accessibility goals. The company says digital accessibility removes barriers to technology for more than 1.3 billion people around the world who identify as having a disability.
“Level Access stands out as the digital accessibility solution provider with the deepest bench of expertise, and the most innovative suite of automated and AI-powered tools,” Snyder said in a statement. “I’m excited to deploy that technology and expertise to help our customers drive efficiency and expand their impact.”
In December 2024, Level Access reported that it surpassed $100 million in annual recurring revenue. The company has more than 700 employees.
30-year mortgage rates fell to 6.76% from 6.81% last week
15-year fixed mortgage rates also edged down to 5.92%
Home sales remain sluggish despite lower borrowing costs
Buyers face high prices and market uncertainty this spring
The average rate on a 30-year mortgage in the U.S. eased again this week, modest relief for prospective home shoppers during what’s traditionally the busiest time of the year for the housing market.
The rate fell to 6.76% from 6.81% last week, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday. A year ago, the rate averaged 7.22%.
Borrowing costs on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, popular with homeowners refinancing their home loans, also fell. The average rate dropped to 5.92% from 5.94% last week. It’s down from 6.47% a year ago, Freddie Mac said.
Mortgage rates are influenced by several factors, including global demand for U.S. Treasurys, the Federal Reserve‘s interest rate policy decisions and bond market investors’ expectations for future inflation.
After climbing to a just above 7% in mid-January, the average rate on a 30-year mortgage has remained above 6.62%, where it was just three weeks ago. It then spiked above 6.8% the next two weeks, reflecting volatility in the 10-year Treasury yield, which lenders use as a guide to pricing home loans.
The yield, which had mostly fallen after climbing to around 4.8% in mid-January, surged last month to 4.5% amid a sell-off in government bonds triggered by investor anxiety over the Trump administration‘s trade war.
The 10-year Treasury yield was at 4.23% in midday trading Thursday, up from 4.17% late Wednesday.
As mortgage rates decline, they help give homebuyers more purchasing power. While down from a year ago, mortgage rates haven’t come down enough to encourage more home shoppers at a time when real estate prices are still rising nationally, albeit more slowly, and the number of properties on the market has risen sharply from a year ago.
It’s one reason the spring homebuying season is off to a lackluster start. Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes fell in March, posting the largest monthly drop since November 2022.
An index that tracks home loan applications fell 4.2% last week from a week earlier, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. That was the index’s second straight weekly drop, although it was up 16.5% from a year earlier.
“Mortgage applications fell for the second consecutive week as uncertainty continues to impact many buyers’ decisions to enter the housing market,” said MBA CEO Bob Broeksmit.
Economists expect mortgage rates to remain volatile in coming months, though they generally call for the average rate on a 30-year mortgage to remain above 6.5% this year.
“Homebuyers would like to see rates come down further, but it is becoming more likely that they will remain in the high 6% range this spring,” said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS.
McDonald’s reports weak U.S. sales; consumer caution grows
NEW YORK (AP) — Microsoft and Meta Platforms are driving Wall Street higher on Thursday after reporting profits for the start of the year that were even bigger than analysts expected.
The S&P 500 was up 0.9% in midday trading and heading for an eighth straight gain, which would be its longest winning streak since August. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 205 points, or 0.5%, as of noon Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 1.9% higher.
Microsoft jumped 8.6% after the software giant said strength in its cloud computing and artificial intelligence businesses drove its overall revenue up 13% from a year earlier.
Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, also topped analysts’ targets for revenue and profit in the latest quarter. It said AI tools helped boost its advertising revenue, and its stock climbed 4.8%.
The two are some of the most influential stocks within the S&P 500 and other indexes because of their massive sizes, but they weren’t alone. CVS Health, Carrier Global and a bevy of other companies also joined the stream of better-than-expected profit reports that have helped steady Wall Street over the last week. The S&P 500 is back to within 8.5% of its record set earlier this year, after briefly dropping nearly 20% below the mark.
Still, plenty of uncertainty remains about whether President Donald Trump’s trade war will force the economy into a recession. And even though companies have been reporting better profits for the first three months of the year than analysts expected, many CEOs are remaining cautious about the rest of the year.
General Motors cut its forecast for profit in 2025, for example. It said it’s assuming it will feel a hit of $4 billion to $5 billion because of tariffs. GM’s stock nevertheless rose 0.4%. The automaker said it expects to offset at least 30% of the tariff impact.
McDonald’s fell 0.6% after reporting weaker revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected, even though its profit was slightly above forecasts. An important underlying measure of performance at its U.S. restaurants had its worst decline since 2020, when COVID shuttered the global economy, and McDonald’s CEO Chris Kempczinski said consumers “are grappling with uncertainty.”
McDonald’s joined Chipotle and other restaurant chains that have seen customers get more cautious amid all the unknowns about the economy and inflation that’s still higher than many people would like.
The uncertainty has already shown up in surveys of consumers, which say pessimism is shooting higher about where the economy heading. On Thursday, a couple reports about the economy came in mixed, following up on several recent updates that have suggested it’s weaker than expected.
The first of the reports said more U.S. workers filed for unemployment benefits last week than economists had forecast, setting the stage for a more comprehensive report on the job market arriving Friday.
But a later update said U.S. manufacturing activity was better last month than economists had feared, though it still contracted again.
The fear on Wall Street is for a possible worst-case scenario called “stagflation,” where the economy stagnates yet inflation remains high. It’s hated because the Federal Reserve has no good tools to fix both problems at the same time. If the Fed were to try to help one problem by adjusting interest rates, it would likely make the other worse.
Some encouraging news on inflation arrived Wednesday, when a report said that the measure of inflation the Fed likes to use slowed in March.
In the bond market, Treasury yields swiveled following Thursday’s economic reports. The yield on the 10-year Treasury initially fell below 4.13% after the worse-than-expected update on joblessness. But it later trimmed its losses following the better-than-expected report on manufacturing and rallied to 4.21%. That’s up from 4.17% late Wednesday.
In stock markets abroad, trading was closed in many countries for May Day, or international Labor Day holidays.
Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.1% after the Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged, as many investors expected.
Hopes that Trump may eventually roll back some of his tariffs after reaching trade deals with other countries also helped to support markets.
A social media blog by China’s state broadcaster claimed that the Trump administration has been seeking contact with the world’s second largest economy through multiple channels to start negotiations over tariffs.
___
AP Writers Yuri Kageyama, Matt Ott and Didi Tang contributed.
We use cookies on our website to give you the most relevant experience by remembering your preferences and repeat visits. By clicking “Accept All”, you consent to the use of ALL the cookies. However, you may visit "Cookie Settings" to provide a controlled consent.
This website uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through the website. Out of these, the cookies that are categorized as necessary are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic functionalities of the website. We also use third-party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this website. These cookies will be stored in your browser only with your consent. You also have the option to opt-out of these cookies. But opting out of some of these cookies may affect your browsing experience.
Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly. These cookies ensure basic functionalities and security features of the website, anonymously.
Cookie
Duration
Description
cookielawinfo-checkbox-analytics
11 months
This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Analytics".
cookielawinfo-checkbox-functional
11 months
The cookie is set by GDPR cookie consent to record the user consent for the cookies in the category "Functional".
cookielawinfo-checkbox-necessary
11 months
This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary".
cookielawinfo-checkbox-others
11 months
This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Other.
cookielawinfo-checkbox-performance
11 months
This cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Performance".
viewed_cookie_policy
11 months
The cookie is set by the GDPR Cookie Consent plugin and is used to store whether or not user has consented to the use of cookies. It does not store any personal data.
viewed_cookie_policy
11 months
The cookie is set by the GDPR Cookie Consent plugin and is used to store whether or not user has consented to the use of cookies. It does not store any personal data.
Functional cookies help to perform certain functionalities like sharing the content of the website on social media platforms, collect feedbacks, and other third-party features.
Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors.
Analytical cookies are used to understand how visitors interact with the website. These cookies help provide information on metrics the number of visitors, bounce rate, traffic source, etc.
Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns. These cookies track visitors across websites and collect information to provide customized ads.