Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

A magic pill?

While other industries are still struggling to recover from the economic malaise of recent years, the commercial construction industry found a magic pill for its ailments in the form of medical center construction. In Richmond, health systems and medical providers have been on a building spree, putting up outpatient satellite facilities one after another.

“A lot of the developers out there have been focusing on medical lately because, I think, it’s the only active industry right now,” says Jimmy Stanley, managing partner of Henrico-based Stanley Shield Partnership. “Retail dived for quite a while, and now it seems to be starting its comeback, and general office seems to be coming back a little bit, but we’re not seeing major spikes.”

Stanley’s company is developing the $50 million, 160,000-square-foot Short Pump Medical Center complex near Short Pump Town Center in cooperation with the Virginia Beach-based Breeden Co. real estate firm. No tenants have been announced yet, but Stanley plans to open the first of three medical office buildings on the site by early 2015.

Several factors are driving the medical building boom. Foremost among them, says Kevin W. Barr, CEO for Bon Secours Virginia Ambulatory Service Operations, are an increased need for services among the aging baby boomer population. In addition, health systems also are moving toward an outpatient care model, where convenient access to care is paramount for customers.

Even more medical development in the capital region could be fueled in the future by Virginia Commonwealth University Health System’s plans to develop an independently run, freestanding children’s hospital.

“The whole notion of increasing care in the community is just so essential today,” Barr says, noting that Bon Secours has built outpatient complexes strategically located near major population and retail centers in Henrico and Chesterfield counties. “Hospitals will renovate and improve their campuses, but in terms of expansion, it’s in the community and that’s all about access.”

New medical complexes also tend to drive retail. In fact, James W. Theobald, chairman of the Richmond law firm Hirschler Fleischer, says it’s “very synergistic” for developers and businesses to build around medical facilities. Patients and medical employees “may do everything from buying prepared foods to getting a haircut and picking up their dry cleaning,” Theobald says.

His firm does a lot of real estate representation for companies like Henrico-based Atack Properties, which is working with Bon Secours to build Bon Secours Short Pump, a $50 million, 115,000-square-foot “medical village” located at West Broad Street and Route 288. It will include a freestanding emergency room, medical offices, outpatient surgical services and MRI and CT scanning facilities.

The medical village concept isn’t limited to Richmond. Bon Secours built an outpatient health center in Suffolk five years ago similar to the project under development at Short Pump: “It’s a full-service campus,” Barr says. “It has everything but the beds.”

Virginia Beach Mayor Will Sessoms has been talking up the idea of developing 1,100 acres of unused city land in Virginia Beach’s Princess Anne Commons into a health-care cluster containing not only providers but medical research facilities. Princess Anne Commons already is home to Sentara Princess Anne Hospital and the nonprofit organ procurement organization LifeNet Health.  Roanoke-based Medical Facilities of America also is building a $17 million, 120-bed rehabilitation center there.

In the Richmond area, other notable medical projects under development include the 66,000-square-foot Medarva Stony Point Surgery Center at the Notch at West Creek, a mixed-use development near the Henrico-Goochland line off West Broad Street. Henrico-based developer The Lingerfelt Cos. is constructing the surgical center as part of a planned complex of three medical office buildings.

Lingerfelt also is building a $20 million, 63,490-square-foot orthopedics and sports medicine rehab facility in Hanover County for OrthoVirginia and Bon Secours.

“Over the past five years, we have developed eight medical office buildings, totaling over 670,000 square feet, valued at approximately $225 million,” says Lingerfelt Cos. Principal Brian Witthoefft. “… Richmond is fortunate to be blessed with such strong health systems that support that kind of growth here locally.”

Net gain or loss?

What if they held a war and no one showed up?

For months the media has portrayed the recent net neutrality debate as a cold war, pitting streaming entertainment giant Netflix against mega-Internet service providers such as Verizon and Comcast. Then abruptly in February, a peace treaty of sorts was signed when Netflix and Comcast announced a partnership to increase the performance of Netflix content over Comcast’s Internet network.

Proponents of open Internet fear that this move, combined with a recent federal court ruling against the Federal Communications Commission’s net- neutrality rules, could result in a pay-to-play landscape. Under that scenario residential broadband customers would have to pay higher fees to access multimedia content, and content providers such as Netflix and Google would have to pay broadband providers for preferred access to customers.

Nonetheless, economics and law professor Tom Hazlett, who teaches at George Mason and Clemson universities, says there’s no such thing as an open Internet.

“Every network is operated in such a way that it discriminates against certain types of traffic. It has to be. Customers would be damaged greatly were they not,” says Hazlett, former chief economist with the FCC.

For example, he says, network engineers working for Internet providers give greater priority to voice-over-Internet traffic than email. It doesn’t matter if email is delayed by a half-second, but that sort of delay could kill a conversation over Skype. Similarly, network engineers also try to filter out malware and viruses, and some universities block peer-to-peer file sharing, which can overwhelm small networks. “That’s not an open Internet,” Hazlett says. “That’s a managed Internet.”

In January, the U.S. District Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia struck down the FCC’s 2010 net-neutrality rules. They were partly aimed at preventing broadband providers from blocking or slowing down access to bandwidth-hogging streaming media services such as Netflix, Amazon or Google’s YouTube.

The FCC has vowed to draw up new net-neutrality rules that it hopes will meet court approval. The Obama White House released a statement in support of that effort: “Absent net neutrality, the Internet could turn into a high-priced private toll road that would be inaccessible to the next generation of visionaries. The resulting decline in the development of advanced online apps and services would dampen demand for broadband and ultimately discourage investment in broadband infrastructure. An open Internet removes barriers to investment worldwide.”

Hazlett, however, says that position is based on faulty logic. “The FCC … says the Internet has developed as an open ecosystem, and now we have to impose rules to keep it an open ecosystem. … The argument for net neutrality is that somehow you have to change the rules to keep things the same.” Companies such as Google and Netflix grew and thrived in a market environment without increased government regulation such as the FCC’s net neutrality rules, he points out.

And it’s not a bad thing that Netflix is paying Comcast for better delivery to its customers, Hazlett says. “Comcast is going to reposition some of its infrastructure, and Netflix is going to reposition some of its infrastructure. That’s good for the customer, that’s good for Comcast, and that’s good for Netflix. … It shows [the] … dangerously anticompetitive, anticonsumer regulation we get when we go down the road to net neutrality.”

Besides, “some of us don’t use Net­flix,” Hazlett says. “And if [Internet service providers] are going to charge all of us end users to support higher bandwidth … why not charge Netflix?”

There’s precedent for buying preferred status, Hazlett says, noting that Google made a deal in 2002 to become the default search engine for America Online, which at that time was still one of the nation’s largest Internet service providers.

When the Internet started booming in the 1990s and early 2000s, it was largely accessed through dial-up modems on existing telephone lines. Since then, telecommunications companies such as Verizon, Comcast and Time Warner have spent more than $1 trillion in building and upgrading a high-speed, fiber-optic and coaxial broadband network across the nation.

Broadband speeds are growing ever faster, but multimedia content on the Web keeps pushing bandwidth limits. Netflix already offers streaming movies in 3-D and 1080p high definition (the term refers to 1,080 horizontal lines of vertical resolution and progressive scan).  And it has plans to stream 4k Ultra HD videos, which will offer four times the resolution of current HD video and will require much more bandwidth and fast connections.

Scott Cleland, chairman of broadband industry-backed group Net Competition, says it’s past time that Netflix paid its share of broadband infrastructure costs.

“Kudos to Netflix for recognizing that when one is the single biggest generator of Internet traffic and consequently one of the biggest cost causers for the Internet infrastructure upgrades, one has to contribute their fair share of the cost. The Netflix-Comcast [deal] … shows commercial negotiations work, and there is no need for government intervention in the Internet peering market that has operated well for 20 years without government regulation.”

Comcast and Netflix released a joint statement announcing “a mutually beneficial interconnection agreement that will provide Comcast’s U.S. broadband customers with a high-quality Netflix video experience for years to come” but declined to reveal terms of the deal.

Netflix spokesman Joris Evers says that his company is committed to advocating for open Internet policies and notes that his company is a big driver for customers to purchase broadband.
“The primary reason people buy high-speed Internet access is to stream video. That’s evidenced by the popularity of video on the Internet and by our growing membership. Video is the killer application for broadband and helps ISPs [Internet service providers] sell higher tiers with faster speeds,” Evers says. “Our goal is to work with the ISPs to deliver the best possible experience to our joined customers, but we also feel that ISPs should deliver the Internet access their customers pay for, and many of their customers subscribe to broadband to watch video.”

Netflix has 33.4 million U.S. subscribers, about 5 million more than HBO. Some studies estimate that the service accounts for nearly 30 percent of the nation’s Internet traffic during peak usage hours. YouTube is ranked next in bandwidth usage, with about 17 percent.

There have been plenty of claims online and in the news that Verizon, which runs a competing streaming media business, is “throttling” Netflix, or intentionally decreasing Netflix’s traffic speed, which would result in a lower quality video experience for the end user.

Verizon has vehemently denied the allegations. Cleland also denies it, but he points out that even if a provider did throttle traffic, there would be nothing illegal about that since the court ruling struck down the FCC’s net neutrality rules.

Comcast, Verizon, AT&T and Cox all say they are committed to an open Internet. Their statements leave the door open for the possibility of charging higher fees to customers who use multimedia services or charging the multimedia providers for preferred access. None of the companies would address those issues directly.

Comcast is legally obligated to operate under the old FCC net-neutrality rules until 2018 as part of the FCC’s approval of its 2011 acquisition of NBC Universal. It said in a joint statement it is not giving preferential treatment to Netflix.

As for Verizon, it says the court decision “will not change consumers’ ability to access and use the Internet as they do now. The court’s decision will allow more room for innovation, and consumers will have more choices to determine for themselves how they access and experience the Internet. Verizon has been and remains committed to the open Internet that provides consumers with competitive choices and unblocked access to lawful websites and content when, where and how they want. This will not change in light of the court’s ruling. We look forward to working with the FCC and Congress to keep the Internet a hub of innovation without the need for unnecessary new regulations that seek to manage the explosive dynamism of the Internet.”

Barrier to growth?

Four years ago, Loudoun County-based Middleburg Bank had two people in its compliance department. Today, because of the numerous banking regulations coming out of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, the bank has tripled its compliance staff. And that’s not counting the outside counsel it has  on retainer to deal with the increased regulations.

“We have six people … focused full time on compliance and making sure we’re following the rules,” says Gary Shook, the bank’s president and CEO. “It’s just that there’s so many [rules], it becomes a head-scratcher.”

In early January, a new set of Dodd-Frank regulations governing mortgages went into effect, requiring more extensive lending documentation and removing protections from lawsuits for banks for some mortgages. In addition to hundreds and hundreds of pages of new banking rules that have already been implemented, about 60 percent of Dodd-Frank regulations are still waiting in the wings and this has smaller community banks worrying whether they can cope with the sheer volume of compliance changes needed.

“Bankers are very concerned about these mortgage rules,” says Virginia Bankers Association President and CEO Bruce T. Whitehurst. “We’re talking about over 3,000 new pages of regulations and significant changes as to how banks document their mortgage lending activity. This requires system changes.”

Says Shook: “For one type of mortgage … [it] was 1,200 pages … and you multiply that by the many, many code sections of Dodd-Frank and that’s a lot of reading and a lot for folks to understand just to make a simple mortgage. To me, if you can’t boil it down to one or two pages of ‘here’s the facts,’ then somehow there’s too much regulatory oversight. That is a burden for a bank my size because we have to add people to review these things and stay up to date.”

Banking survey
More than 100 community bank leaders across the United States were surveyed by KPMG LLP for its 2013 Community Banking Outlook Survey, released in November. Anticipating the new Dodd-Frank regulations, 65 percent of respondents said it was likely their bank would be involved in a merger or acquisition in 2014, either as a buyer (42 percent) or a seller (25 percent). Regulatory and legislative pressure was cited by 42 percent of those surveyed as the most significant barrier to growth in the coming year.

“Community banks are exhibiting a great deal of resiliency in light of the challenging environment they’ve faced the past several years,” John Depman, national leader of Regional and Community Banking for KPMG, says in a news release. “Regulatory compliance requirements are negatively impacting their operating costs, but this is accepted as the new normal and community banks are taking steps to ensure their viability and growth, or evaluating whether it’s the right time to sell.”

Says Whitehurst: “If your cost of doing business is going up more than you can grow your revenue and your profitability is going down, then the company has to look at what does that mean and what does the future look like. There is a pretty broad expectation that there will be a lot of mergers and that that a lot of them might be driven by the need for scale.” By merging, smaller community banks “will gain in scale and be able to spread the cost of the regulatory burden across a bigger base of revenue.”

Mitigating costs from banking regulations was one of the factors cited in the First Market Bank-StellarOne merger last year.

“It’s hard to quantify, but Dodd-Frank and all the other regulations are sort of the death by a thousand cuts,” says Chesapeake Bank CEO Jeffrey Szyperski. “Which cut is [the one that] drives you to be acquired I can’t tell you … but the cumulative effect of the all the cuts would definitely cause consolidation in our industry.” In the community banking industry right now, he says, an acronym is making the rounds: TSTS — “too small to succeed.”

“At some point,” he says, “there’s a critical mass where the regulatory burden is too much for a smaller institution to absorb and that could drive merger/acquisition activity. … I’ve been in banking 23 years and the regulatory environment’s as burdensome now as it’s ever been. It detracts from a bank’s ability to serve their customers.”

Loss of safe harbor
That said, community banking professionals in Virginia feel that the KPMG survey results are overstated. There are nearly 7,000 community banks in the United States, and it’s unlikely that 1,750 of them will sell themselves to a larger bank before 2015, Whitehurst says.

Some of the new regulations are reasonable, Shook says, such as new standards to determine a potential mortgage applicant’s ability to repay the loan. There is a new checklist requiring banks to get documentation of factors such as current employment status, monthly debt-to-income ratio and current debt obligations including alimony and child support.

“You go down a list of what I would call pretty common-sense things … to make sure you’ve got your file in order so that if someone did come back and sue you and say you tricked them into taking out a loan [they] couldn’t afford to pay, you can say, ‘I went right to the checklist of ability to repay and I have done what I was supposed to do. … As a bank CEO, I like that documentation because it protects you and the consumer at the same time.”

One of the major concerns from the new regulations, however, is that it removes protection, also known as safe harbor, for banks from consumer lawsuits for nonqualified mortgages that don’t meet the new ability-to-repay status. This means that borrowers could sue the banks and prevent foreclosures by claiming that the bank made the loan knowing that the borrower might not be able to afford it.

This is a problem for community banks because some large parcels of rural land, such as horse farms, which can’t be placed on the secondary market because of a lack of good comparables, wouldn’t meet the new ability-to-repay qualifications, even with a prime borrower, Whitehurst says.

Shook and Szyperski say that the majority of community bankers they know in Virginia still plan to make these nonqualifying residential mortgage loans, but they acknowledge that having legal protection removed may deter some community banks from lending in certain cases. This could also ironically make some mortgage loans more expensive for prime borrowers, Whitehurst says.
“We intend to continue to make [nonqualifying loans]. We will just have to document them better,” Szyperski says. “I think there will be a contraction in the supply of available lenders over time. I think it will affect people’s ability to get mortgage product … [but] I think there are plenty of loans that are [nonqualifying mortgage] loans that are very good loans from a risk perspective and need to and should be made. … We still need to be able to serve our community and that’s where we fall on it.”

It will be a few months yet before community banks can determine the impact of the new mortgage regulations, Whitehurst says, adding that “banks of all sizes are going to be prepared for these rules and they’re going to continue to lend as much as they possibly can, but it’s going to be more of a challenge in the mortgage space.”

Dissecting information

Say you’re a commodities trader, and you buy cereals for Kellogg’s. Or you’re Wal-Mart, and you make millions of retail transactions every minute. How do you make sense of all the information your business is collecting?

This is big data — assembling the large volumes of information that every business collects, using analytics to determine useful patterns within it and then making key decisions from that information. For instance, Kellogg’s may review cereal price data over time to cut down its supply-chain pricing. Or Wal-Mart may collect purchasing and shelving data to know when to stock which shelves with what particular merchandise in order to reduce waste and maximize sales.

“This is one of the most practical innovations in computing I’ve ever seen,” says Jamie Friedman, a senior analyst with Susquehanna Financial Group LLP of Bala Cynwyd, Pa.

Just a decade ago, big data was mostly the province of federal defense and intelligence agencies, but in the last few years it has become a growing segment of the technology business, because of innovations and the exponential proliferation of ways that users are collecting and creating data.

Northern Virginia’s technology corridor contains some of the nation’s biggest players in big data, Friedman says, including Falls Church-based Computer Sciences Corp. (CSC), Reston-based Leidos and Booz Allen Hamilton in Tysons Corner. Companies headquartered elsewhere such as Palo Alto, Calif.-based VMware and Massachusetts-based EMC Inc., also have major big data operations in Northern Virginia because of its proximity to federal agencies in the Washington, D.C., area.

Big opportunities
“The business applications for big data are enormous. Since we are in the shadows of the [federal] government, [which is] the largest producer of big data, the business opportunities in Virginia in big data are enormous, whether it’s in government or health care,” says Suresh V. Shenoy, executive vice president at Reston-based Information Management Consultants Inc. (IMC). “We are also fortunate to be the Internet hub of the rest of the world. We have more Internet traffic going through Ashburn, Va., than anywhere else in the world. We are the crossroads for all data traffic and … we’re just scratching the surface.”

In the last year CSC acquired two firms specializing in big data processing and analytics: 42Six Solutions LLC, a U.S. defense and intelligence contractor based in Columbia, Md., and Austin, Texas-based Infochimps. CSC won’t comment on the acquisitions or its big data work, but Friedman says the company, which brought on new CEO Mike Lawrie in 2012, was on target to do as much as $1.5 billion in big data-related business this year before its most recent acquisition. A publicly traded global tech company with 87,000 employees worldwide, CSC has annual revenues of nearly $14 billion.

With the advent of mobile computing, social media and a new generation of multimedia digital content, “a new generation of computing is capturing unstructured data such as audio, video, sensors, shapes,” Friedman says. “So this is a huge technological challenge and what CSC has the ability to do is to make sense of this information that their customers are capturing so that managers can use it to inform their decisions.”

CSC is also said to be working on the “holy grail” of big data: object-oriented computing. “Anyone can [process] rows and columns in a database, but object-oriented computing is a huge challenge,” Friedman says. For instance, he says, “a suitcase in an airport is completely benign until someone steps away from it, so how do you get the camera to [recognize] that?”

Focus on the four V’s
Big data focuses on four V’s: volume (or the amount of data collected), velocity (the speed of streaming data, which is being expanded by broadband delivery); variety (the types of data, which can be anything from spreadsheets and emails to multimedia content, social media posts or reports from sensors in cars and a panoply of other “smart” machines); and veracity (the accuracy and security of data), explains David Logsdon, senior director, federal civil public sector for the Tech-America technology trade association, which has worked on big data initiatives with the Obama administration.

Social media in particular represent “very much an unmined gold mine,” says Logsdon, just because of the sheer volume of information produced by it globally every day. New big-data applications are using social media information to help health-care providers and drug manufacturers track flu outbreaks, for instance, he says, and “the intelligence community … is realizing that they can look to social media to identify trends quicker than they have been able to do in the past, and they’re still trying to figure out how to do that.”

Virginia technology consulting and services firm Booz Allen Hamilton also is seeing booming business growth in big data among government and corporate clients. A publicly traded company, Booz Allen brought in $5.8 billion in revenues during the fiscal year ending last March and employs 26,000 workers worldwide.

“Our clients are using big data technologies and data science techniques … to do very advanced analytics to help them run their businesses and improve … to gain insight into how to do things differently or better,” says Peter Guerra, a principal in Booz Allen’s Strategic Innovation Group.

For example, he says, “we were asked by a large manufacturer to use big data and data science techniques to determine how they could increase the efficiency of yield of the product they were making, and our analysis allowed them to get a much better efficiency in their yield, which resulted in millions of dollars of savings throughout their process.

“When organizations embrace big data technologies and analytics, they really get to data-driven decisions. They can model what they want to do and better understand all the different factors to make decisions about how to move their businesses forward.”

Room for small operators
Even smaller technology contractors have entered the big data space. IMC is working on a federal contract to prevent fraud in the federal Lifeline program, which provides discounted phone service and prepaid cellphones to low-income people.

The company used big data techniques to uncover criminal fraud and waste in a Florida health-care system. “We found $8 [million] or $9 million worth of collusion and fraudulent activity,” Shenoy says. IMC also used analytics and big data to learn that a cabinet contractor hired by a hospital in the system was a twice-convicted pedophile. “He had changed his name a couple of times and moved to Florida and started his cabinet company. The CFO of the company was blown away. The liability for the hospital had something gone wrong would have been enormous.”

As adoption of big-data practices increases, there is a corresponding growing need for skilled workers. “They’re very much in demand,” says Logsdon, noting that a recent report by the Obama Administration’s federal big-data commission called on nation’s colleges and universities to offer more data sciences programs.

Last year, the University of Virginia founded its Big Data Institute, which is encouraging interdisciplinary approaches to big data across the university’s study fields. U.Va. also is offering a new master’s degree in data sciences. The first students in the program will graduate in 2015.

“It’s hard to imagine a field right now that isn’t experiencing a tremendous growth in the amount of data that’s being collected,” says the institute’s director, Don Brown, the university’s William Stansfield Calcott Professor of Engineering and Applied Science.

Leidos has donated funding to the institute to study the creation of cloud infrastructures that can handle large amounts of personal health information. Lockheed Martin also has a partnership with the university around big data, and Amazon is in talks with the institute.

Talking about big data, it’s hard to ignore that the biggest big-data story right now is the National Security Agency’s mass monitoring of phone and email records and online content to identify patterns of terrorist activity.

That’s why U.Va. also is focusing on the ethics of data science, Brown says, and discussions about that should be taking place not just in government but also in corporate boardrooms. “We need to discuss these issues. … We need to think about data ethics. These are critical and important questions and current events are making that quite clear.”

Beyond paper

 

Not too long ago, a group of Virginia Tech engineering students decided to fix a leaking sink pipe in their apartment by creating a little plastic device to reroute the leaking water back to the sink. They designed it on a computer and took the file to Virginia Tech’s DreamVendor, an innovative vending machine that performs free 3-D printing on demand. A little while later, the working device was in their apartment.

A plastic plumbing doo-dad might seem like a far cry from Captain Picard barking out an order for “Tea, Earl Grey, hot,” to the replicator on board “Star Trek’s” USS Enterprise, but, believe it or not, that’s where 3-D printing technology is ultimately headed.

Already people are downloading and assembling everything from prosthetic limbs to guns to hardware tools on demand; NASA and other space agencies are looking to the technology to reduce payloads on long space missions; and a recent TED Talk lecturer posited that one day we’ll be 3-D printing products ranging from food to houses.

“Soon we’ll be going to Amazon to download a vase or a fork or whatever and print it at home. I think that’s going to happen even in the 10-year horizon,” says Chris Williams, an assistant professor in Virginia Tech’s departments of Mechanical Engineering and Engineering Education.

The main challenge, Williams says, is that the average everyday object in the home is typically “made from multiple materials. It’s metal and plastic and electronics.” And today’s 3-D desktop printers typically print small objects — usually no bigger than a shoe box — from plastic in a single color. “We’ve got to find a way to get multiple materials to behave and stick together,” he says, “and that’s a much larger vision.”

Virginia Tech researchers are performing preliminary research toward that futuristic vision, working on printing three-dimensional objects from copper and in, what Williams says will be “the next big breakthrough,” they’re laying the groundwork for printing circuitry into objects as they’re created by 3-D printers. Tech is also in the early stages of a partnership with Wake Forest School of Medicine’s Institute for Regenerative Medicine in Winston-Salem, N.C., which is working on 3-D bio-printing of human organs.

In the meantime, while we’re waiting for our home replicators and replacement hearts, today’s 3-D printers already are being used in a host of interesting ways.

The first thing to understand about 3-D printing (also known as additive manufacturing) is that it’s nothing new; the technology has been around since the 1980s. What is new to the marketplace, however, are affordable consumer, desktop 3-D printers, which sell for around $1,000 to $2,000. Previously, the technology had been more or less limited to industrial manufacturing and university research.

“This is not a new technology; it’s just new to the mainstream media. We’ve had several media outlets want to know about the ‘new technology’ and when we tell them we’ve been doing it for 18 years, they almost don’t believe it,” says Bruce LeMaster, president of Fredericksburg-based manufacturing firm Applied Rapid Technologies. About half of the 3-D printing that his company does is government contract work: “communications gear and tank parts, missile parts, Navy-type parts,” he says.
“With traditional manufacturing you start with a raw block of material and subtract what you don’t need, and you’re left with the final part. In additive [manufacturing], you start with nothing and grow the part layer by layer. It can be more efficient for more complex geometries, and it’s much faster,” LeMaster explains.

Desktop 3-D printers such as the popular MakerBot series resemble hollow boxes. Fed a spool of brightly-colored plastic wire, the machine melts the plastic and shapes an object, layer by layer, with a moving, robotic arm. Users can either design their own objects using computer-aided design software (a popular free, Web-based app is Tinkercad) or they can download free, open-source designs from other users at the website Thingiverse. Finished objects have a honeycomb-like interior, which sometimes shows up as a faint lizard-scale design on the object surface. Objects can take minutes or days to fabricate, depending on their complexity, resolution and size.

The technology is especially useful for rapid prototyping and packaging development, says Kenneth B. Kahn, a Virginia Commonwealth University professor who is director of the VCU da Vinci Center for Innovation. Companies such as Richmond-based MeadWestvaco use 3-D printing to develop and test new packaging concepts.
“Certainly it’s useful when you have a physical product you can drop on someone’s desk,” Kahn says. “It’s one thing to show them a picture, but it’s another to put it in their hand and ask, ‘So what do you think?’”

At VCU’s School of Engineering, which just acquired 3-D printers this school year, students are developing prototypes ranging from a device to help paraplegic people exit wheelchairs to a sterilizer for dental instruments to an instrument for heart surgery. “A real advantage of 3-D printing [is] if the design is faulty, then the design can be revised and rebuilt in the same day,” says Russell Jamison, the former dean of VCU’s School of Engineering who now holds the Alice T. and William B. Goodwin Jr. Chair of Engineering Education.

“The 3-D printer is just the beginning of desktop manufacturing,” says David Vogeleer, an associate creative director with Richmond-based advertising firm The Martin Agency, which has a 3-D printing lab. In addition to being used to develop prototypes for clients, the lab has been employed to create objects ranging from cellphone covers and employee awards to cabinet handles and motorcycle parts.

At the University of Virginia, engineering students worked on research for The MITRE Corp., a McLean-based defense contractor, to create plastic unmanned aerial vehicles that could be produced on a 3-D printer.

The idea, explains U.Va. Professor Hossein Haj-Hariri, chair of the Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, is that eventually when 3-D printing is perfected and becomes faster, troops could print out and assemble drones on demand, rather than lugging large, heavy items into the combat theater. Soldiers could also print spare parts. “If part of the wing breaks, you’d not have to decommission that plane. You wait a few hours, print another wing tip and you’re good to go,” Haj-Hariri says. A small 3-D printed drone costs $500 to $600 to make: far, far less than the price of most military drones.

U.Va. also has worked with local school systems to sponsor 3-D printing labs, where middle school and high school students learn about scientific concepts such as how to build a simple, working telegraph device by utilizing 3-D printing. U.Va. also uses the technology to teach jet engine design in partnership with Rolls-Royce, which has a jet engine manufacturing plant in Prince George County.

As consumer applications of 3-D printing expand and the technology ripens, legal issues will undoubtedly emerge, especially around the possibility of bootlegging. “That’s a real concern that the [intellectual property] holders are already anticipating,” says Hunton & Williams attorney Stephen Demm, who specializes in intellectual property law.

Depending on the type of item copied — whether it’s a functional item, an artwork or an image of a copyrighted character such as Mickey Mouse, disputes could fall into the realms of patent law, copyright law and/or trademark law. “With trademark, you always worry about the quality of the brand,” Demm says. “If people are making things that look like your brand but it’s cheap or isn’t made as well or somebody tries to copy a tool or bicycle helmet and then it malfunctions and somebody gets hurt, you have a problem with bad publicity.”

With the present technology, there really isn’t much room for concern, he says, but if items can truly be replicated down the road, manufacturers may find themselves in the same situation faced by the music and movie industries. They will need to find a way to protect and police their properties.
“Things could obviously change over time where you could get the quality higher and the unit cost way down,” Demm says, “and then you’ve got a real concern.”

2013 Virginia Business Person of the Year

The day Tonya Mallory closed on the capital for Health Diagnostic Laboratory Inc., she bounced an $11 check for a T-shirt order to one of her sons’ schools. “We were down to zero. I was actually going to apply at Wal-Mart the very next weekend. That’s how close to nothing we had,” recalls HDL’s CEO. “I was going to stock at Wal-Mart on [midnight shifts] so I could keep trying to get the company going during the day.”

She and her husband of 23 years, Scott, already had spent much of their savings caring for his late mother during a terminal illness.  So there wasn’t a reserve to dip into for her business. “We essentially bet the farm,” Mallory says. “We agreed that we would cash out our 401(k) accounts, the kids’ college accounts, and we second-mortgaged the house.”

Mallory estimates that she pitched her vision of a new type of medical laboratory corporation to about 500 investors for about a year before landing a $4 million angel investment from Tipton Golias, the founder and president of Texas-based Helena Laboratories.

“Driven” is how most people describe Mallory. It’s a pretty apt characterization of the Virginia Business 2013 Business Person of the Year. While in college and graduate school, Mallory worked full time and volunteered 12 hours every Sunday for her local rescue squad. 

Her drive, a vision to create a new model for treating chronic disease and the impressive ramp-up of her Richmond-based company — which spurred one of the biggest expansions ever in the city’s biotech park — were all reasons why the magazine’s editors selected Mallory as its sixth annual winner.   

HDL co-founder Joe McConnell, the director of cardiovascular laboratory medicine at the Mayo Clinic before joining HDL, describes Mallory “as one of the most amazing people that you’ll meet. I don’t think she ever sleeps or if she does, she sleeps very little … At the same time, she cares about people, but she doesn’t let people get in her way when she wants to do things. She’s got a vision and a plan. HDL wouldn’t be where it is today without Tonya.”

Mallory, 48, founded HDL in the summer of 2009. Since then, it has grown from a kitchen-table business plan to a corporation earning more than $420 million in annual revenue, employing 750 people, processing 4,000 lab samples and running more than 60,000 lab tests each day. HDL has driven nearconstant construction at its home in downtown Richmond’s Virginia BioTechnology Research Park, where a $68.5 million expansion soon will triple the company’s footprint to 280,000 square feet.

Last year Mallory received the Ernst & Young National Entrepreneur of the Year award in the Emerging Company category. One of the country’s most prestigious business awards for entrepreneurs, it recognizes leaders who demonstrate innovation, financial success and personal commitment as they build their businesses.

HDL is the largest cardiovascular and diabetes testing lab of its type in the world. It hit its five-year goal in its first 10 months of business. The company hires a person a day on average; in some months it adds as many as 50 workers.

Partnerships are fueling some of the growth. HDL is the official health and wellness partner of the Washington Redskins. Under the arrangement, HDL provides health testing and consulting services for the Redskins organization and works with the team to promote diabetes awareness. The sponsorship also grants HDL some branding promotion at the Redskins’ home stadium in Landover, Md., and its new training camp in Richmond.

HDL also is known for its corporate largesse. It gave $2.2 million to the Science Museum of Virginia (the largest corporate gift in the museum’s history) and donated $4 million to the athletics department at Virginia Commonwealth University, Mallory’s alma mater. A huge fan of VCU Rams basketball, Mallory keeps a photo of herself with men’s coach Shaka Smart in her office.

HDL’s primary revenue stream comes from a panel of comprehensive lab tests that allow early detection of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, metabolic syndrome and fatty liver disease. In October, HDL acquired the assets of a British company that produces a blood test for early detection of lung cancer.

“Tonya is an absolute visionary,” says Dr. Shaiv Kapadia, a cardiologist who is chief of staff at Bon Secours St. Francis Hospital. HDL’s stoplight-coded tests are easy to review for patients and physicians. And compared with HDL’s tests, he says, “conventional cholesterol testing probably misses almost half of the folks who are at risk for cardiovascular disease.”

Mallory, however, considers HDL a health management company, not just a laboratory. HDL offers patients free health coaching services, including smoking cessation, dietary and behavioral change, in an effort to improve patient health and prevent heart attacks and diabetes. Kapadia calls the health coach program “genius” and says that — combined with HDL’s testing — it has been “a very powerful” tool for reducing cardiac events in his cardiology practice.

HDL also has begun offering its early detection and health coaching services as a paid service to private companies so corporations can improve employees’ health and keep insurance costs down. So far, HDL’s clients include Markel Corp. and Bon Secours Richmond Health System in addition to a pilot program with the state government.

Tests are confidential and not shared with the employer, says HDL Marketing Program Manager Jeff Kelley. The employer sees aggregate data about employee health “in order to implement initiatives to move employees, on the whole, from red to green. Test results are used to help lower overall claims/health-care costs and provide a tool for employees to help them manage their health.”

An independent study published in September in the health-care journal Population Health Management found that HDL’s testing and coaching reduced patients’ health-care costs by an average 23 percent over a two-year period and also improved patients’ lipid profiles.

“HDL is a game changer,” says Dr. Sam Fillingane, a Mississippi physician who specializes in cardiovascular risk reduction. Previously, the kind of testing that HDL offers wasn’t covered by insurance and only wealthy patients could afford the out-of-pocket expenses, he adds. (HDL’s business model is predicated on accepting whatever insurance companies will pay for tests; patients pay only co-pays or deductibles.) Plus, physicians would have to send tests to multiple labs because no one lab offered all the specialized tests that could be done by HDL.

HDL’s array of tests gives physicians ample warnings to conduct behavioral and drug interventions that could virtually eliminate heart disease and Type 2 diabetes, says Fillingane, who has worked as an educational consultant for HDL. Insurance companies and health-care corporations are skeptical about spending money for prevention up front, he notes, but the tests cost far less, for example, than heart bypass surgery, which can run more than $100,000.

An average primary-care practice might have dozens of patients with cardiac events each year, but through using advanced biomarker testing and health coaching, “it is very rare for a heart attack to occur in my patient population, which is high risk,” he says. His patients routinely see a regression of arterial plaque buildup.

“Some people think that this approach is too expensive,” says Fillingane, “but I say it’s too expensive not to take this approach. I personally think if we beat cardiovascular disease in the United States it’s going to be through efforts like that of Health Diagnostic Laboratory.”

Jeffrey Gallagher, executive director of the Virginia Biotechnology Association, says Mallory is an inspiration to others in the industry. Biotech entrepreneurs in Virginia routinely talk about wanting to be “the next Tonya,” he says. “She’s been a terrific champion of research and commercialization of innovation and entrepreneurship. … She’s just been an inspiration to us all. … This is a very difficult way of life, to do the research that might not have any friction for years or to start companies or products that are going to have a 10- to 15-year path to get to the marketplace, and I can’t underscore strongly enough how … [HDL’s success] fuels them and keeps people going.”

Robert Skunda, CEO of Richmond’s biotech park and a former state secretary of commerce and trade, calls the company’s growth “astounding.” He has received “quizzical” questions about it from business leaders who wonder how long HDL can sustain such rapid growth. He thinks HDL’s growth will level off eventually, but that HDL is a “bona fide, homegrown success.”
McConnell, HDL’s co-founder, says Mallory “has a philosophy that’s sometimes scary to me: That is, leap and the net will appear. It’s going to be down there. You’ve got to take that leap and it will appear. Sometimes I worry, but there’s always been a net. We’ve always managed to build that net … and if we have to build the net while we’re falling, that’s good, too, because it happened. It’s really been an exciting time, and Tonya pushes the envelope all the way.”

Her early years
Tonya Mallory grew up in the rural Doswell area of Hanover County and graduated from Patrick Henry High School. Her father was a welder for Philip Morris; her mother worked as an accountant clerk for Bear Island Paper Co. At age 13, she doctored a job permit from her pediatrician to say that she was 18 years old so she could work in the restaurant kitchen at the Kings Quarters, a hotel connected to Kings Dominion theme park. By the time she was actually 18, she was managing the restaurant.

She attended Virginia Commonwealth University, paying her way through school by working full time at restaurants. On Sundays, she volunteered 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. for her local rescue squad. She received her undergraduate degree in biology and chemistry in 1988 and went on to earn a master’s degree in forensic science a year and a half later.

“I was going to graduate school from noon until 10 p.m. and working from 10 p.m. to 8 a.m. at what is now LabCorp but was then Hoffmann-La Roche Laboratories. I was sleeping about 8 hours a week,” she recalls, laughing. “Believe it or not, I graduated with a 3.9 average or something like that.”

Mallory had wanted to pursue a career in medicine but was concerned that the managed-care environment would make it difficult for her to pay back school loans. So she decided to become a DNA fingerprint examiner for the state forensics lab. (She’s a fan of best-selling mystery novelist Patricia Cornwell, who was working at the state medical examiner’s office when Mallory was taking classes at the forensic lab in graduate school: “She was working at the lab … I was a student; I was a nobody but [I would see her] in the halls.”)

Due to budget cuts at the time, the forensics lab wasn’t a good prospect, so Mallory took what she thought would be a temporary position at Richmond-based Wako Chemicals USA, a Japanese manufacturer that produced chemicals and reagents used in laboratory testing. She wound up working there for more than 17 years.

Put in charge of Wako’s chemical diagnostic division, Mallory says she built its annual revenues from about $4,800 to $21 million. “I figured out what the market needed,” she explains, and created marketing materials, pursued FDA approvals and allowed larger companies to rebrand and resell Wako’s chemicals.

“In a Japanese company, it’s very common for everyone to wear many hats. Mallory says. “If you take those 17 years of experience, it’s probably equivalent in an American company to 40 or 50 years.”

Then conversant in Japanese, Mallory was accustomed to company managers in Japan telling her that goals she set and changes she proposed were impossible. “Of course I loved that, and I had to prove them wrong.”

The department had been in the red for more than 10 years before Mallory took it over, says Hiroshi Shima, her former boss at Wako.

“What she did was to set goals, motivate her staff members toward them and take aggressive actions to increase sales,” he recalls. “She has unsurpassed physical and mental toughness as well as a strong will with which she carries out whatever she is required to do. Moreover, she has ample and broad knowledge about the industry and has outstanding ability to absorb new knowledge. Yet she is always kind to whoever is in need of help.”

For example, Shima says, “One of our employees had chemotherapy after her breast cancer surgery and showed up to work wearing a cap. Next day, all women in the office started wearing a cap. That turned out to be Tonya’s idea.”

After Shima was transferred back to Japan in 2004, the company’s new, more traditional Japanese leadership told Mallory flatly that because she was a woman and below age 50, she would not advance farther in the company, she says. When her mother-in-law was dying, the company denied her requests to work at home. Mallory instead took vacation leave to care for her mother-in-law, who died 11 days later. The incident influences Mallory’s attitudes toward her employees at HDL, who have flexible schedules, no time clocks and generous leave.

Less than a year later, G. Russell Warnick — another HDL co-founding partner who was then vice president of laboratory operations and chief scientific officer at San Francisco-based Berkeley HeartLab — recruited Mallory to build a second Berkeley lab in Richmond. From 2005 to 2008 Mallory commuted back and forth from Richmond to San Francisco, but when Berkeley was suddenly acquired by Celera Corp., the Richmond lab project was killed. Mallory and Warnick both left, unhappy with the conservative management of Celera, which Warnick says discouraged innovation and entrepreneurial attitudes.

At that point, Mallory began writing the business plan for HDL.

Down-to-earth and quick to laugh, Mallory is an iconoclast who is likely to show up at business meetings wearing jeans and Birkenstock sandals. She’s a “Bazinga” T-shirt-owning, “Big Bang Theory” fan who has a toy figure of über-geek Dr. Sheldon Cooper perched above her office computer monitor.

An open book, she volunteers that she loves Stella Artois beer and likes fishing in the pond behind her family’s Goochland County home. Besides being a busy executive, she’s the mother of two sons, Jace, 15, a student at Richmond’s Benedictine College Preparatory school, and Adam, 20, a VCU exercise science major who works at HDL as a personal trainer in the employee gym.

Mallory also is creative outside her business innovations: She enjoys painting abstract portraits, and several of them decorate the walls at HDL. “When my stress goes up, the paintings start multiplying,” she says.  

Asked whether she would ever consider taking the company public, Mallory says she’ll never say never, but she doesn’t see it happening anytime soon because HDL hasn’t reached its goal. That goal is nothing short of revolutionizing the way American medicine is practiced.

When Mallory’s mother-in-law became ill with leukemia, it took a year before a doctor did a test that revealed that she had a fatal kidney disease. “I went back to her primary-care physician and asked, ‘How come you didn’t have her pee in a cup the day she walked in the doctor’s office?’ and he said because insurance wouldn’t cover it. So I spent a year of my time chasing an answer that he could have had had he made a good clinical decision … regardless of what the insurance paid for or didn’t pay for.”

Mallory encountered a similar problem in late 2009 when her older sister, a Type 1 diabetic, had her second undiagnosed heart attack in two weeks and passed out. In the emergency room, the doctor was ready to release her because her cardiac markers looked fine. But Mallory realized they had tested the heart muscle and didn’t look for a blockage. She threatened to report the doctor to the hospital administration if she didn’t refer her sister to a cardiologist for a stress test. It turned out that Mallory’s sister had 95 percent blockage in two arteries; four days later she underwent double bypass surgery.

“It was the lack of understanding of the disease and the disease process,” Mallory says. “There’s no doubt in my mind that had she not gone down to that stress lab that she would have died.”

Mallory attributes HDL’s success to a “perfect storm” of conflating factors: Sedentary lifestyles and poor diets have led to an obesity epidemic, which in turn has led to high rates of Type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Plus, some patients feel like they don’t get enough time with their primary doctors to discuss medical problems. HDL’s easy-to-understand, comprehensive tests “empower the patient and the physician,” she says.

Still, Mallory acknowledges she’s a long way from reaching her ultimate goal. Depending on the source, there are an estimated 208,000 to 352,000 primary care physicians in the United States. About 18,000 of those physicians use HDL’s tests and only 15,000 have received advanced training on reading the tests.

“It’s really important for physicians to be armed with information and to make clinical decisions that they believe in. So a lot of our business model is built on that,” Mallory says. “If you look at the real value of lab tests, they’re 3 to 5 percent of the cost to the health-care system, but they control 70 percent of the decisions. It doesn’t matter what lab test you do. Do them all — they’re so cheap — and make very good clinical decisions.”

Of all the perks that have come with being the CEO of a fast-growing, respected corporation, Mallory says the most valuable to her is having a say. “I didn’t have a voice before,” she says. “And no one’s ever told me I’m short on words.”

She’s used that voice to help direct the biotech park and to innovate at VCU, offering direction to VCU’s School of Business and pumping up the university’s clinical chemistry program.

She’s used it to support local and national nonprofits fighting obesity and promoting health prevention.

More importantly, she wants the entire medical community to hear her.

“I started HDL in order to impact medicine,” Mallory says. “I definitely understood that medicine had gotten to a place in the United States where it was quite reactionary, and we want to be a catalyst to change that.”

Virginia Tech institute tests automated vehicle technologies

Sometime in the 2040s, your son or daughter is running late for a meeting across town. They pull up an app on their implanted smart device and find the nearest available driverless vehicle. The pod-like conveyance pulls up and waits for its passenger, like a theme park ride. The automated taxi drops the rider off at the appointed destination and then whisks away to retrieve its next client.

Except for the body cyber implant (which, really, is as good as anyone’s guess at this point) that may be a fairly accurate vision of the future of transportation, which is being pioneered at the Virginia Tech Transportation Institute (VTTI). The institute, which celebrated its 25th anniversary in November, is road-testing and researching a variety of new vehicular technologies that are years — and in some cases decades — ahead of what one can find in today’s auto showrooms.

“Long term, things are moving towards automation … but it’s an evolutionary process,” says Thomas A. Dingus, the institute’s executive director. “There are production vehicles out this year and last year that automatically brake. There are production cars out this year and over the next year that will actually do lane centering. That’s sort of the first step toward automated steering. … We’ve tested a lot of that technology here at VTTI over the last decade. It’s all moving toward full automation, although that’s quite a ways away. … Realistically you’re talking about 25 or 30 years, but it will go fast if the last 25 years is any indication.”

This year, Dingus was honored at the White House as one of the Obama administration’s 2013 Champions of Change for his work on 21st-century transportation solutions.

Since becoming VTTI director in 1996, Dingus developed it from a 15-employee center into the nation’s second-largest university transportation research institute, now employing a staff of more than 350. Its annual budget grew from $2 million to about $40 million in just a decade as Dingus built partnerships with the federal government and the automotive industry. (About 25 percent of VTTI’s annual research budget comes from private industry; the balance is from state and federal funding.)  The institute conducts more than 200 research projects a year, including testing new technologies for automotive manufacturers as an independent research facility.

VTTI operates the Virginia Smart Road, a closed, test-bed facility in Blacksburg that includes a 2.2-mile test track and the 175-foot-high Smart Road Bridge, the tallest state-maintained bridge in the state. Researchers have logged more than 16,500 hours at the facility. This year, among many other projects, Tech researchers have road-tested the driverless Google Car at the Smart Road as part of a project in cooperation with the U.S. Department of Transportation, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Google and General Motors. The project tests how drivers react to warnings to take control of semiautonomous vehicles.

There are different levels of automation in vehicles, explains Myra Blanco, who leads VTTI’s Automated Vehicle Systems research group, including features such as automated braking, lane changing and lane centering. Another technology has the car knowing its position relative to the car in front of it.

In the Google study, Blanco says, “We’re basically looking at the human system interaction, looking at how the driver will hand off or cede control to the vehicle, then if something happens, how they would regain control of the vehicle again.” For instance, if the car encounters an unexpected road condition such as road construction, it could signal the driver to take over. VTTI is studying how to make that transition seamless and safe.

The goal that transportation researchers are working toward is a fully automated car into which the user can input a destination and let the car safely do the rest. No company has gotten to that point yet, Blanco says, but the Google Car and projects such as CityMobil, a European pilot project testing automated mass transit, are steps toward the future.

Conceivably, automating vehicles could virtually eliminate car crashes, alleviate traffic congestion and reduce gasoline usage, Dingus says, but first there will have to be redundant, reliable systems that are beyond foolproof. “We still have 32,000 or 33,000 fatalities a year. People say once vehicles are automated, that number will drop substantially,” Dingus says, “but if you’re in an automated vehicle and it crashes, it’s going to be on the front page of every newspaper in the country.”

Toward that end, a major component of VTTI’s automated research is the ability to create a wireless network of smart vehicles sharing the road and trading data with one another.

VTTI is conducting connected vehicle tests on the Smart Road and in real-world driving conditions on its Virginia Connected Test Bed, a stretch of highway with 43 wireless networking devices located at intersections along the Interstate 66 corridor in Fairfax County near state Routes 29 and 50.

Using wireless technology, connected vehicles can build a virtual map of which cars are around them and where those cars are heading. Cars could relay information to each other such as warnings of slick roads so your vehicle will know to slow down, says Zachary Doerzaph, director of VTTI’s Center for Advanced Automotive Research. Connected vehicles also could collect information from road crews about construction hazards.

One of the studies VTTI is conducting examines how stop signs could become “virtual yield signs,” Doerzaph says, allowing you to drive through the intersection without stopping if the car knows no other vehicles are nearby. Another potential use would allow state transportation departments to improve traffic flow by directing traffic to different lanes depending on the vehicle’s destination.

VTTI is also looking at customizable software inside the car. Right now that means entertainment apps such as Pandora or Netflix, Doerzaph says, but one day the user could purchase additional software increasing the smart technology capabilities of the vehicle.

There are questions to be answered, including whether the network would compete with cellphone bandwidth or operate solely on short-range technology. Also, due to infrastructure costs, it’s more likely that fixed wireless broadcast nodes would be located at strategic locations instead of being ubiquitous on roadways, Doerzaph says. And for safety’s sake, systems must be more reliable than a cell phone connection.

Other challenges to using automated vehicles include regulatory questions and phasing out the existing fleet of non-automated vehicles. Cars with the newest automation and smart features likely will be more expensive, Dingus says, so it could take 25 to 30 years before everyone is driving a connected or smart car. VTTI also is looking into whether older cars could become retrofitted with adaptive technology, Doerzaph says, but those cars probably wouldn’t have as high a level of functionality as cars with built-in technology.

Other related research at VTTI examines “naturalistic driving” — monitoring drivers’ habits in the vehicle with technology including cameras and monitors. VTTI looks at factors such as texting (very bad), cell phone usage (surprisingly not so bad because the driver’s eyes are forward on the road when talking) and fatigue (a huge factor in crashes and near-crashes). Eventually VTTI research may be used to create more advanced, built-in monitoring applications for novice teen drivers that could send detailed report cards to parents about the teens’ driving habits, similar to current commercial products such as DriveCam and IntelliDrive.

“We want to make sure we get this right the first time,” Doerzaph says. “The worst possible outcome is for us to do all this work and when it gets deployed, it decreases safety instead of increasing safety.”

Copper-line networks disappear as customers rely on wireless phones

Like the telegram, movie rental stores and phone books, the landline phone is fast heading for technological extinction.

Just consider the numbers: Back in 2001, about 3.1 million Virginians — not even half of the state’s population — subscribed to cellular phone service. Smartphones, tablets and wireless data connections still were limited to the realm of science fiction.

By the end of 2011, according to the Federal Communications Commission, the number of wireless subscribers in Virginia had jumped to roughly 7.8 million. Since Virginia has about 8.2 million residents, the large number of cellphones suggests that many people own more than one.

During roughly the same time period, the Census Bureau says the number of homes with landline phone connections dropped by 25 percentage points — from 96 percent in 1998 to 71 percent in 2011. Millennials (the generation born between the early 1980s to 2000) are driving the trend, with two-thirds of them using wireless mobile devices instead of landlines.

The 2000s were a pivotal time of change for telecommunications, and in many ways the industry still is catching up to the technological wave of innovative smart mobile devices that has been swelling exponentially since the introduction of the iPhone in 2007.

As part of that change, the traditional copper-line analog voice telephone networks — affectionately known in the industry as POTS for “Plain Old Telephone Service” — likely soon will be relegated to history’s dustbin, along with other outdated technologies such as the telegram. AT&T and Verizon are in discussions with the FCC and federal authorities on how to eventually shut down the copper-line system first introduced in the 1870s and replace it entirely with a high-speed fiber-optic and broadband network.

Many consumers with landlines already are using a broadband or fiber-optic network. Only 25 percent of U.S. households will have a traditional copper phone landline by the end of this year, according to industry trade group U.S. Telecom. And even that estimate may prove to be overly optimistic.

In 2000, at the peak of landline usage, more than 186 million American homes had landline phone accounts. As of 2013, AT&T and Verizon reported to the Securities and Exchange Commission  that they have just 21.1 million copper POTS landline accounts still in use.

“The vital fact is that the world has changed,” says AT&T spokesman Dan Langan. “In order to meet consumer demand today and in the future, we must move … from a voice network to [an Internet-based] broadband network where voice is just one of many applications riding on that infrastructure. This transition is already happening, and consumers are leading the way — they want more, they want it everywhere, and they want it all the time.”

“Voice is not dead; just using wires … [for] voice is somewhat dead,” says Craig Drinkhall, vice president of product management and engineering for Waynesboro-based Lumos Networks. “The way it’s delivered is changing a lot.”

Wireless-only homes
The industry predicts that half of U.S. homes will be wireless-only by the end of this year, eschewing landlines entirely, says Vince Apruzzese, regional vice president of external legislative affairs for AT&T in Virginia. “At AT&T we’ve experienced a 30,000 percent increase in mobile data traffic over the last six years. That’s an amazing statistic,” he says.

For example, in October 2012 Apple CEO Tim Cook announced that users of Apple’s iMessage platform had sent more than 300 billion texts — some 28,000 texts per second.

“The way we communicate has changed so much,” says Harry Mitchell of Verizon Communications. “It used to be that [voice telephone] was the only way you could communicate short of writing a letter or sending a telegram if you needed to get it there fast. Now there’s email, there’s texting, IM, Facebook, Twitter, so the whole way in which we communicate today is vastly different than we did five years and certainly 10 years ago.”

Businesses also are moving more and more to mobile communications, particularly startups run by young entrepreneurs.

“We do see businesses are increasingly turning to wireless to meet their workplace needs, and we’re hoping to accelerate that trend,” says Melanie Ortel of Verizon Wireless. It offers small businesses a 4G LTE Jetpack service, a mobile hotspot that can allow 10 or more users to share a wireless connection without speed degradation.

Despite the increasing adoption of wireless, telecommunications industry experts say there still will be a place for wired connections — at least for the foreseeable future. But those wired connections will have less to do with voice and more with moving data.

For starters, all cellphone towers are fed by wired, fiber-optic connections. And mobile communications also can’t replace the speeds and data that wired fiber-optic lines provide for transferring large files, including videos and images. (Multimedia and video services such as Netflix or ESPN on demand are major bandwidth hogs, Apruzzese says.)

Landlines in the office
In a traditional office setting, Mitchell says, “a landline-based phone system can make sense for a number of reasons. … The vast majority of our business customers still have landline connections for voice and/or Internet connectivity.” In fact it’s common, he adds, for Verizon’s wired and wireless businesses to work together to offer companies packages offering both wired and wireless solutions. (Verizon Communications is acquiring the 45 percent interest Vodafone has in Verizon Wireless for $130 billion.)

If a business does have a wired infrastructure, however, it’s more likely these days that its voice telephone service will be just one of several applications on that wired system.

For instance, Drinkhall says, broadband and fiber-optic communications providers may bundle in Internet-based voice services that can include a whole suite of applications such as instant messaging, video conferencing, voice messages and “virtual presence” — the ability to answer a business call from anywhere to any device. Other services include the ability to choose a different area code for your business phone.

The goal, he says, is to make all of your business communications appear “like one big, seamless communication network” to customers, no matter where you’re taking the call from or how you’re interacting with them.

As for the future, if advances in wireless technology continue, AT&T’s Apruzzese says, it’s possible that even high-tech, fiber-optic wired systems could become completely obsolete.

“If you think about it, there may be a day when all people don’t have wire-line connectivity, and everything’s in the cloud,” he says. “With technology the way it’s going, I could never say never to tell you the truth. It’s conceivable. … The iPhone just came out in 2007. That’s less than 10 years ago and it’s just exploded since then. Who would have thought we’d be at this stage with the saturation of smartphones? Almost everyone has one now and they use it for everything.”

Cybersecurity is the most in-demand IT skill set

The Virginia state government data center doesn’t harbor the kind of classified, hush-hush, top-secret data that its federal counterparts do; hackers seeking to discover info about the Roswell aliens or who really killed JFK would be better advised to look elsewhere.

Just the same, the state’s servers contain a lot of confidential information about Virginia residents and taxpayers, and they’re hit by cyber attacks of one form or another about 120 million times each year.

“That’s about 10 million attempts a month,” says Virginia Secretary of Technology Jim Duffey. “The bad guys are definitely out there, and they’re persistent; and they’re getting better all the time, so your defense has to respond and be one step ahead. You have to be right all the time, and they only need to be right once.”

Cybersecurity is the most in-demand sector among information technology jobs, according to major IT staffing firms, and it’s not likely to change anytime soon. Demand for cybersecurity professionals has grown more than 3.5 times faster than demand for other IT jobs over the last five years, according to a recent Cyber Security Census conducted by Semper Secure, a public-private partnership led by Virginia’s state government that is focused on increasing the number and quality of cybersecurity professionals in Virginia.

Furthermore, demand for cybersecurity professionals is 12 times higher than that of all other professions. The average annual salary for a cybersecurity expert is $116,000, according to the survey of 500 cybersecurity professionals in 43 states across 40 industries.

“The demand is definitely there, and it’s going to continue to be there,” Duffey says. “There are a lot more people producing a lot more data than ever in our history and all of that data needs to be protected.”

The need for cybersecurity pros is felt across government agencies and affects pretty much every industry from health care to energy companies and finance. “You name it, they’re all going to require cybersecurity,” Duffey says, “and they’re going to require it whether the economy is doing well or not doing well.”

So why are cybersecurity professionals so difficult to find?

Part of it is the amount of certification and education needed.

Duffey and Semper Secure are working with Virginia’s universities and community colleges to encourage more cybersecurity training and curriculums. In September, it was announced that Longwood University’s new Longwood Center for Cyber Security became the first university program in Virginia to be designated a National Center of Digital Forensics Academic Excellence by the Defense Cyber Crime Center. It offers studies in cybersecurity and information systems.

“In order to fill these positions down the road, we’re going to have to be more proactive” in working with schools and universities to increase the number of STEM graduates, says Theresa Quallich, senior director of human resources for Herndon-based federal IT contractor LGS Innovations. For instance, LGS CEO Kevin Kelly serves on industry advisory boards for Penn State and George Washington universities, and LGS offers scholarships and internships and supports programs designed to interest more students in STEM and IT careers.

But education isn’t the major issue causing the lack of cybersecurity pros, says John Larson, president of Baltimore-based IT staffing firm CPSI Consulting. Cybersecurity jobs require someone with a unique skill set and experience.

“It’s a situation where you need extreme analytical skills,” Larson says. “It’s not just a matter of writing code … where I’m working against a set of specifications. On the cyber side I’m not only doing that, but I have to be very analytical and think about the person who wants to break through the system for whatever reason, malicious or whatever. I’m working under a different set of rules. It’s extremely complex … so you need a high level of experience. You can’t come out of college in general and start working in the cybersecurity world.”

One out of four cybersecurity professionals has less than five years of work experience, according to the Semper Secure census. Businesses far prefer those with more experience, Larson says, because “there’s a high likelihood they’re paying top dollar for that individual and as a result of that they need that person to be productive the minute they walk in. They can’t train them and wait … six months. They need instant accountability and productivity.”

Government clearance is another major issue. The largest groupings of cybersecurity professionals are found in California’s Silicon Valley or in the metro Washington, D.C./Northern Virginia region, according to the Semper Secure census. And the IT industry in the D.C. area is driven by federal contracts, almost all of which require various degrees of security clearance.

For instance, General Dynamics Information Technology, a unit of Fairfax County-based General Dynamics, recently announced that it’s working on a $6 billion, five-year federal contract to strengthen the security of .gov networks and assess and combat cyber risks, working with the Department of Homeland Security’s Continuous Diagnostics and Mitigation (CDM) program.

Due to the high demand for IT professionals, there are many foreign workers on visas from India, Eastern Europe, Russia and China filling the gaps, but the majority of them can’t get security clearances, Larson says. It can take as long as six months to get top-secret security clearances in some cases, and government contractors don’t want to wait that long. Companies are seeking to hire cybersecurity professionals who already hold clearances.

Related positions are also in high demand, particularly Java software developers who are needed to develop mobile applications, says Michael McCaughey, managing director for Northern Virginia IT staffing firm DISYS. More and more government agencies and industries are utilizing mobile apps to access data from tablets and smartphones, creating a whole host of new security problems, but there is a lack of people with experience and security clearances.

Similarly, McCaughey adds, cybersecurity professionals with experience in cloud computing and data storage are also in great demand, particularly in Virginia, which holds data centers for many major federal agencies as well as for a huge percentage of the United States’ Internet users. (By some estimates, as much as 60 percent of U.S Internet traffic comes through Virginia, Duffey says.) And in the Richmond area, where finance firms like Capital One drive IT hiring, cybersecurity professionals need to have a good grasp on back-end enterprise resource planning software applications such as SAP and Oracle PeopleSoft, according to Shawn Handley, senior vice president of business development for Richmond-based Apex Systems.

As one might imagine from all this, unemployment isn’t a problem in the IT world — far from it. “From all measures, we have pretty much full employment in the IT space,” Larson says. “It’s not like there are people waiting, saying, ‘I can’t find a job in IT.’ If you’ve got the skill set, you’re employable and are working today and have been for some time.”

Public-private partnerships

Back in 1999, the area across from Virginia Beach’s aging Pembroke Mall was a “conglomeration of nothing,” says Lou Haddad, CEO of Armada Hoffler Properties.

Despite a great location, literally in the middle of Virginia Beach along the city’s busiest road — Virginia Beach Boulevard — the 18 acres across from Pembroke were mostly undeveloped, save for a small office building and a smattering of houses. Built in 1966, Pembroke Mall itself was seeing major vacancies as tenants departed for newer shopping venues.

Today this area, known as Town Center of Virginia Beach, is thriving. People mill about at the mixed-use center during the day and night. Events such as a free midweek concert series routinely draw thousands of people to Town Center’s plaza. The 17-block project offers apartments, condominiums and office buildings. It is anchored by a Westin hotel, the Sandler Center for the Performing Arts and 22 restaurants.

Across the street, Pembroke Mall has been revitalized by the growth, bringing in new anchors such as Kohl’s and Target.

Opened in 2002, the resort city’s town center was developed through a public-private partnership between Armada Hoffler and the city government. Sometimes called P3s for short, public-private partnerships increasingly are being used for commercial real estate projects. Localities are turning to this model, because partnerships help fund critical infrastructure projects, delivering new public buildings and services that generate revenue.

In Virginia Beach, for example, the city contributed $83.6 million to the town center, providing public parking garages, the plaza, infrastructure and streetscape features such as fountains. Armada Hoffler invested more than $300 million. 

The city brings in about $13.5 million in assorted tax income from the center each year. A big chunk of that revenue, $5.2 million, comes from a special Tax Increment Financing (TIF) district set up to repay the city’s debt service on the project. Another $1.5 million in special service district taxes pays to maintain such city-funded features as the parking garage and plaza. The remaining $6.8 million stems from assorted fees such as sales, meals and admissions taxes and business licensing fees.

Haddad likes to point out that the center draws retailers unique to the area. “We have the only Cheesecake Factory, the only P.F. Chang’s, the only Brooks Brothers, the only Westin in Virginia Beach. All of those one-of-a-kind facilities are here,” says Haddad, whose company is headquartered in the 23-story Armada Hoffler Tower at Virginia Beach Town Center.

“It has far exceeded anything that I had expected … It’s just full of energy,” says Virginia Beach Mayor Will Sessoms.

Back to at least the early 1980s, the city government had considered developing the property into a central business district. In the 1990s Wal-Mart explored acquiring it. “Had that big-box store been brought to fruition then, there would have been on the order of $20 million of investment,” Haddad says. “When the next phase of Town Center is complete, [Armada Hoffler] will have invested over $350 million.”

Public-private partnerships can provide win-win scenarios for government and the private sector. They work best, experts say, when three factors are present: the project will be for the public good; it will fulfill a need not currently being met; and it provides a healthy profit potential for business investment.

Article image

Norfolk has approved a deal with the Cordish Cos. to
revamp The Waterside into a venue for restaurants and
entertainment. Rendering courtesy The Cordish Cos.

 

Still, such projects are not without controversy. Norfolk’s Waterside, built in 1983 under a public-private partnership, nearly went bust 30 years later. The city recently approved a deal with The Cordish Cos. of Baltimore to revamp the waterfront center as more of an entertainment/restaurant venue. While the developer will invest $40 million upfront, the agreement calls for a $1 million public investment for a new marina. The project sustains an iconic waterfront property, but critics note that the city lost money on Waterside for years as it fell into disrepair.

As with any project in commercial real estate,  “There’s got to be a great guaranteed revenue stream. This is not philanthropy. You want that, go to Bill Gates,” says Rick Norment, executive director of the Arlington-based National Council for Public-Private Partnerships.

Public-private partnerships are used for projects ranging from $1 billion-plus toll roads to $7 million parking decks. They frequently are used when neither business nor government could feasibly develop the project independently of each other.

“They’re all so very different,” says Chris Lloyd, senior vice president with Richmond-based McGuireWoods Consulting LLC. Projects can differ in financial structuring and the types and amounts of public assistance, among other factors.

In the commercial real estate sector, public-private partnerships differ vastly from large public works projects. Investors and governments, for example, may wait 50 to 75 years to recoup their money on some toll roads. “On commercial real estate projects,” however, “you’ve got to recoup it on a much tighter time frame” because private developers are looking for shorter windows to gain a return on their investments, Lloyd says.

Some public-private partnerships are set up through local economic development authorities and may include grants, tax rebates or investment in specific portions of a project. Other projects are structured through Virginia’s public-private partnership law, which was passed in 2002. Unlike normal state procurement law, this law “lets you make the selection of procurement based on qualifications, not just the low bid,” Lloyd says. “You can buy the best deal all around, but you have to have transparency and accountability,” including public hearings, public proposals and outside review committees. “You can’t negotiate a deal secretly.”

Typically, real estate projects under public-private partnerships move faster than usual government development projects because the design and construction processes are not solicited separately. Developers are motivated to deliver projects more quickly by desire for profit and economic incentives built into contracts for early completion, Lloyd says.

Also, under this model, Norment says, “the whole construction risk is delegated to the private sector. The contracts have very clear performance standards … and if you don’t meet those performance standards you don’t get your money. If you have a problem with construction delays, it’s all private-sector risk.”

The benefit of a public partner
Having a public partner, however, makes a deal “more credit-worthy” in the eyes of banks and investors, making it easier for developers to obtain funding for large real estate projects, Lloyd says.

Public-private real estate partnerships are formed for many different reasons. In Richmond, for example, the city is investing nearly $14 million in taxpayer money for a new, 18-story office tower downtown. The city investment includes $11.2 million to help finance a 506-space parking garage for the $110 million Gateway Plaza, which will be the new headquarters of law firm McGuireWoods and its consulting arm when completed in 2015. The city would get nearly a 65 percent ownership interest in the garage, expected to cost about $22 million, and 326 public spaces.

The city also will give the developers, Chicago-based Clayco, a $3 million performance-based grant to be paid by new tax revenue expected from the tower, which will include 14,000 square feet of retail space.

Currently housed in One James Center, McGuireWoods was considering leaving the city when its lease expired in 2015, says Richmond Economic Development Director Lee Downey, a former marketing manager for the law firm. One of the nation’s largest firms, McGuireWoods employs 630 attorneys, staff and consultants in Richmond.

“Through this project with the developer, we were able to retain an important business in the city of Richmond,” Downey says. The city also will gain some new real estate tax revenue from the project that incrementally will repay the debt service for the parking deck.

As for the developer, Larry Chapman, principal of Clayco Real Estate Services, says the project wouldn’t have been profitable or feasible without the city paying for the parking garage. “The cost of the deck for that garage was more than the rent you could get” for the spaces, he says.

In Fairfax County, the county government and Reston-based developer Comstock Partners have entered into an innovative partnership on the $750 million Reston Station project, part of the $6 billion Silver Line Metro extension to Washington Dulles International Airport. The county will provide $87 million toward construction of a $91.3 million, 2,300-space underground parking deck at the largely underground metro station along Wiehle Avenue. The project also will include a commuter park-and-ride facility and a transit bus depot.  On the nine acres above the Reston Metro station, Comstock is developing a 1.3 million square-foot, mixed-use center that will include 900 luxury apartments, a 200-plus-room hotel, restaurants and office and retail space.

In Hampton Roads, Virginia Beach developer Bruce Thompson, CEO of Gold Key/PHR Hotels & Resorts, has been leading some major public-private partnerships. Currently on his plate is a $126 million Hilton hotel and conference center in downtown Norfolk, which is expected to get underway in January, and the $259 million renovation and expansion of the historic Cavalier Hotel property in Virginia Beach.

Norfolk’s share for the hotel/conference center is $89 million — or more than half the total cost — and includes $16 million already spent to clear land at Main and Granby Streets. The project has been controversial. Naysayers contend that the conference center market already is oversaturated at a time when many companies and the federal government are cutting back on conferences in response to a slow-growing economy.  Supporters say the center would have a bigger ballroom than existing facilities, giving Norfolk the capacity to host more than one major conference at the same time. 

In the case of the Cavalier, Thompson’s firm is investing more than $225 million to renovate the storied hotel. It fell into disrepair after a protracted legal dispute among family members of the property’s owner, The Disthene Group. The city government wanted the iconic property restored rather than seeing it razed to make way for condos or apartments, as some developers had proposed. To help make that happen, Virginia Beach offered $18 million in economic development funds and tax rebates if a developer would restore the hotel and its surrounding 22-acre property, which includes another hotel.

Thompson, who acquired the Cavalier in bankruptcy court for $35.1 million in July, was the only bidder interested in renovating the hotel. He expects the project to take about three years.

The cost to build a new hotel would have been about $150,000 to $200,000 per room, compared with $525,000 per room to renovate the 86-year-old Cavalier, Thompson says. “There is no earthly way that anyone would have restored, maintained and redeveloped that property without the use of a public-private partnership,” he adds.

Thompson can cite a successful track record with public-private commercial real estate projects. In 2003 he developed the then-controversial $79 million Hilton Virginia Beach Oceanfront Hotel on a publicly owned oceanfront park on 31st Street.  The city invested $32 million for a parking garage, park space and land. The 21-story hotel project has brought numerous conferences to the city, Thompson says, and it spurred additional nearby development, including a mixed-use office, retail and residential complex and Thompson’s own $250 million Ocean Beach Club, built without public support. After paying debt service, the city clears about $2 million per year in tax income from the property, says Virginia Beach Mayor Sessoms.

“In Virginia Beach we have a vision of a lot of things we want to get done in this city, and we don’t have the [public] resources to get them all done. We found that by using private resources it allows you to move at a faster pace,” says Sessoms. “It’s allowed us to move forward those projects we so desperately need and which have been a boon for our city.”