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Will the tariffs lead to a recession? Here’s how to know if we’re in one
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump’s sharp tariff hikes last week have sent the stock market into a tailspin, raised alarm bells among Wall Street executives, and heightened many economists‘ worries that the U.S. could tip into recession. The tariffs, set to take effect Wednesday, include a 10% blanket duty on nearly all countries and additional import taxes on […]
Our View: Trump charts chaotic course in trade wars
Since taking office on Jan. 20 for his second term, President Donald Trump has steered the ship of state full speed on a seemingly chaotic course, mostly navigating an about-face from the Biden administration’s policies and only very occasionally zigzagging away from buffeting winds of public disapproval. In support of making progress on the administration’s […]
How’s your confidence?
Business always has its up and downs. We’ve all been through more than a few. As au courant as the dot-com economy might seem, that bubble floated skyward decades ago, bursting in 2002. It wasn’t just a small dip. Between 1995 and its peak in March 2000, the tech stock-heavy Nasdaq index rose by 800%, […]
Financial Services: Signs of health
What’s that we hear? Is the economy growing healthier? It’s getting stronger for sure, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President and CEO Tom Barkin said in January during the 2024 Financial Forecast event co-hosted in Richmond by the Virginia Bankers Association and the Virginia Chamber of Commerce. Inflation was 3.4% in December 2023, inching closer […]
Crying wolf?
It’s “the most predicted potential recession in memory,” Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President and CEO Tom Barkin quipped in January, but it hasn’t happened yet. Maybe. During the first half of 2022, surveys of consumers and CEOs showed they were worried about a recession coming on the heels of a 40-year peak in inflation […]
Staying the course
A tanking economy. Rampant inflation. Whiplash in the stock market. What’s an investor to do? Look for opportunities to rebalance portfolios but, in general, hang tight, wealth management professionals say. Or, as one adviser says, buckle up for a roller coaster ride. The economy is likely to worsen, experts say, and despite dickering among economists […]
Business is better
Over the past several months, there’s been a bit of a buzz about the direction of the global economy. In conversation, many business leaders will express deep concerns about inflation and the onset of recession. Yet, when asked about their financial performance, most all of them say, “Business is going great!” Within these conversations lies […]
Fed’s Barkin asks, ‘What’s ‘normal’ anymore?’
The question Tom Barkin is asked the most these days is when the economy will return to normal. The president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond has a caution for those who may be wishing for the perceived stability of the pre-pandemic economy. “After two-and-a-half years of instability, we’re all ready to […]
Va. CEOs say labor shortages, inflation hurting business
Labor shortages and inflation are negatively impacting Virginia businesses, and expectations for sales, employment and capital spending are less positive than during the previous two quarters, according to the third quarter CEO Economic Outlook Survey by the University of Richmond’s Robins School of Business and the Virginia Council of CEOs (VACEOs). More than 80% of […]
Keeping watch
The question of the quarter: Are we entering a recession? One key indicator of a future recession can be inflation, which hit a 40-year high this year. Between June 2021 and June 2022, the consumer price index increased by 9.1%, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. One of the first tangible signs for […]
V-shaped? K-shaped? Va. experts predict economic recovery
What will the economic recovery from the pandemic look like and when will it take place? Ask Virginia’s economic experts and they’ll tell you it depends on a number of factors, including the continued rollout of vaccines, the next round of stimulus and which sector of the economy we’re talking about. Often, economists brand the […]
