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economic outlook

May 5, 2025

Federal Reserve likely to defy Trump, keep rates unchanged this week

The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady despite pressure from Trump and tariff concerns, as inflation remains above target.

May 2, 2025

Wall Street extends its gains to a 9th straight day, reclaiming losses since tariff escalation

Wall Street marks its longest win streak since 2004 as job growth beats forecasts and optimism grows over easing U.S.-China trade tensions.

May 2, 2025

U.S. adds 177K jobs despite trade war, hiring slows

U.S. employers added 177,000 jobs in April, beating expectations. Labor market remains resilient despite trade wars, tariffs, and federal job cuts.

President Donald Trump speaks with reporters as he participates in a ceremonial swearing in of Paul Atkins as chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, in the Oval Office of the White House, Tuesday, April 22, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
Apr 30, 2025

Trump’s tariffs echo Hoover-era economic missteps

Trump's 2025 tariffs trigger market turmoil, drawing comparisons to Hoover's Depression-era policies and warnings from economists and business leaders.

Hyatt Regency hotel in Tysons Corner. AdobeStock
Apr 30, 2025

Northern Virginia business leaders’ confidence drops in Q2

Business confidence in Northern Virginia declined in Q2 2025, with leaders citing federal layoffs, inflation and supply chain issues, a new survey shows.

Female customer with curly hair buying clothes in boutique using fitting concept while choosing, professional stylist creating trendy look concentrated on selection in designer shop
Apr 24, 2025

Retailers misjudge shopper priorities, loyalties amid rising costs, said Rakuten report

More than half of consumers say they plan to prioritize products with the lowest prices when shopping in the coming months, while only 5% of retailers think shoppers will choose to trade down to lower quality products and less expensive brands.

Javid Moghaddasnia, Director of Customer Engagement, discusses American Giant clothing while being interviewed at the company's showroom in San Francisco, Thursday, April 17, 2025. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
Apr 24, 2025

Most Americans expect higher prices as a result of Trump’s tariffs, a new AP-NORC poll finds

An Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll suggests Americans’ trust in President Donald Trump to bolster the U.S. economy appears to be faltering.

FILE - Shoppers make their ways down an aisle lined with clothing and shoes in a Costco warehouse Thursday, Jan. 23, 2025, in Sheridan, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File)
Mar 25, 2025

US consumer confidence tumbles for 4th consecutive month to 12-year low

WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. consumer confidence fell for the fourth straight month amid rising concern over tariffs and inflation. The Conference Board reported Tuesday that its consumer confidence index fell 7.2 points in March to 92.9. Analysts were expecting a decline to a reading of 94.5, according to a survey by FactSet. The Conference Board’s report Tuesday […]

Feb 11, 2025

Va. economic outlook is positive, says Weldon Cooper Center forecast

Virginia’s long-term economic outlook is positive, according to the University of Virginia’s Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service’s inaugural economic forecast released Monday. Weldon Cooper economists predict Virginia’s gross domestic product in 2025 will increase 2.4%, outpacing national GDP growth. The U.S. GDP’s growth is expected to be 1.9% this year, slower t[...]

A bespectacled man in a white button down shirt with a red tie looks offscreen.
Jan 9, 2025

Here’s what Richmond Fed chief forecasts for 2025 economy

The economic forecast for 2025 is sunny, with a high chance of business optimism, according to Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President and CEO Tom Barkin, who spoke Thursday during the virtual 2025 Financial Forecast held by the Virginia Bankers Association and the Virginia Chamber of Commerce. “I went back this morning and looked at […]

Oct 25, 2024

Fed’s Fifth District economy grows modestly

Economic activity in the Federal Reserve‘s Fifth District (a multistate region including Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, West Virginia and Maryland) grew modestly from early September, according to the latest edition of the Fed’s Beige Book, released Wednesday. Published eight times per year, the Beige Book is based on anecdotal information about economic conditions gathered [...]

The economy isn't yet feeling the effects of raised interest rates, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President and CEO Tom Barkin said Thursday at a Risk Management Association Richmond chapter event.
Jun 21, 2024

Barkin: Still a waiting game for interest rates’ effect on inflation

The U.S. economy has yet to feel the effects of current interest rates, but it eventually will, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President and CEO Tom Barkin predicted Thursday during an event held by the Risk Management Association’s Richmond chapter in the city’s East End. “I’m optimistic that we’ve gotten rates at a restrictive level […]

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